Antonio
Candela
RBItaly · Spezia Calcio
Player dossierSerie A
AntonioCandela
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Spezia Calcio
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 11 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Candela at €900k. Model A, which never saw Candela during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 30% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.43. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €930k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 27
- Minutes
- 1,948
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 24/27
- Min / app
- 72
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Candela…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
89% this player83% defender median66th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €75k
- Oct 2016
- Peak
- €2.3M
- Jun 2024
- Model target
- €900k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 21
- 9 club changes
Dec 2025: €900k, Spezia Calcio. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-31 | €75k | Spezia Primavera |
| 2017-05-18 | €125k | Spezia Primavera |
| 2017-12-21 | €200k | Spezia Calcio |
| 2019-06-17 | €500k | Genoa U19 |
| 2019-12-30 | €500k | Trapani Calcio |
| 2020-04-08 | €450k | Olbia Calcio 1905 |
| 2020-06-28 | €350k | Olbia Calcio 1905 |
| 2021-01-11 | €350k | US Pergolettese 1932 |
| 2021-06-21 | €300k | US Pergolettese 1932 |
| 2021-12-21 | €300k | Cesena FC |
| 2022-06-21 | €500k | Cesena FC |
| 2022-12-22 | €500k | Venezia FC |
| 2023-06-12 | €1M | Venezia FC |
| 2023-10-11 | €1.3M | Venezia FC |
| 2023-12-27 | €1.7M | Venezia FC |
| 2024-06-03 | €2.3M | Venezia FC |
| 2024-12-18 | €2.3M | Venezia FC |
| 2025-03-21 | €2M | Real Valladolid CF |
| 2025-06-09 | €1.8M | Real Valladolid CF |
| 2025-10-06 | €1.2M | Spezia Calcio |
| 2025-12-11 | €900k | Spezia Calcio |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.359
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 7% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 33% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Candela appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TerraccianoGKAC Milan · Serie A€900k
- BiraghiLBTorino FC · Serie A€900k
- BaldéLWAC Monza · Serie A€900k
- ScuffetGKPisa Sporting Club · Serie A€900k
- BartraCBReal Betis Balompié · defenders€900k
- CabreraCBRCD Espanyol Barcelona · defenders€900k
- FoulquierRBValencia CF · defenders€900k
- AlitiCBAlanyaspor · defenders€900k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).