FairValue

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Portrait of Angel Gomes

Angel

Gomes

AMEngland · Wolverhampton Wanderers

№ 392770Elite €11.1M −0.11

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

AngelGomes

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Wolverhampton Wanderers
League
Premier League
Nationality
England
Age
25
Height
168 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Gomes at €10M. Model A, which never saw Gomes during training, estimates €11.1M: the market value is 10% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.11A €11.1M▲ +0.55B €5.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
51
Minutes
2,551
Goals
5
Assists
1
Started
35/51
Min / app
50
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gomes…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €11.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Angel Gomes's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 78th, Assists per 90 22nd, Minutes, two years 49th, Starts 49th, Minutes, last 365 days 48th, European club minutes 78th78thGoals22ndAssists49thMinutes49thStarts48thRecent78thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.18 this player0.08 midfielder median78th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€4M
Aug 2019
Peak
€28M
Oct 2024
Model target
€10M
Jun 2026
Valuations
22
4 club changes
Jun 2026€10MWolverhampton WanderersValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €10M, Wolverhampton Wanderers. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-08-07€4MManchester United
2020-04-08€3.6MManchester United
2020-08-17€3.6MBoavista FC
2020-10-22€4MBoavista FC
2021-01-28€6MBoavista FC
2021-05-21€6MBoavista FC
2021-12-16€6MLOSC Lille
2022-05-30€7MLOSC Lille
2022-09-19€10MLOSC Lille
2022-11-02€13MLOSC Lille
2023-06-27€16MLOSC Lille
2023-07-12€18MLOSC Lille
2023-12-18€20MLOSC Lille
2024-03-19€22MLOSC Lille
2024-06-03€25MLOSC Lille
2024-10-07€28MLOSC Lille
2024-12-10€25MLOSC Lille
2025-03-24€20MLOSC Lille
2025-06-03€20MLOSC Lille
2025-12-15€18MOlympique Marseille
2026-03-09€12MWolverhampton Wanderers
2026-06-03€10MWolverhampton Wanderers

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.107

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 32% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 78% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Gomes appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).