Federico
Ravaglia
GKItaly · Bologna FC 1909
Player dossierSerie A
FedericoRavaglia
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Bologna FC 1909
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 196 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Ravaglia at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Ravaglia during training, estimates €5.4M: the market value is 66% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.98. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 40
- Minutes
- 3,544
- Started
- 38/40
- Min / app
- 89
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ravaglia…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
16% this player0% goalkeeper median81st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Oct 2016
- Peak
- €2M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €1.8M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 20
- 7 club changes
May 2026: €1.8M, Bologna FC 1909. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-17 | €50k | Bologna Primavera |
| 2017-05-16 | €75k | Bologna Primavera |
| 2017-12-29 | €75k | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2018-06-07 | €100k | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2018-12-14 | €75k | FC Südtirol |
| 2019-06-20 | €50k | FC Südtirol |
| 2019-12-18 | €75k | AS Gubbio 1910 |
| 2020-06-17 | €100k | AS Gubbio 1910 |
| 2020-12-29 | €100k | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2021-06-03 | €200k | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2021-12-29 | €500k | Frosinone Calcio |
| 2022-06-06 | €500k | Frosinone Calcio |
| 2022-12-22 | €450k | Reggina 1914 |
| 2023-06-15 | €450k | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2023-12-20 | €450k | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2024-06-05 | €1M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2024-12-18 | €1M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2025-06-17 | €1.5M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2025-12-23 | €2M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2026-05-29 | €1.8M | Bologna FC 1909 |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −1.093
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 18% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 58% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ravaglia appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SanabriaCFUS Cremonese · Serie A€1.8M
- AlmqvistRWParma Calcio 1913 · Serie A€1.8M
- SemperGKPisa Sporting Club · Serie A€1.8M
- LérisRWPisa Sporting Club · Serie A€1.8M
- TrappGKParis FC · goalkeepers€1.8M
- RyanGKLevante UD · goalkeepers€1.8M
- GazzanigaGKGirona FC · goalkeepers€1.8M
- BayazıtGKKayserispor · goalkeepers€1.8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).