Bahadır
Güngördü
Player dossierSüper Lig
BahadırGüngördü
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Konyaspor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Türkiye
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Güngördü at €700k. Model A, which never saw Güngördü during training, estimates €877k: the market value is 20% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €887k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 23
- Minutes
- 2,070
- Started
- 23/23
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Güngördü…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jan 2016
- Peak
- €1M
- May 2024
- Model target
- €700k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 23
- 7 club changes
May 2026: €700k, Konyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-01-04 | €50k | Kardemir Karabükspor |
| 2016-07-15 | €50k | Kardemir Karabükspor |
| 2017-06-30 | €150k | Ankara Demirspor |
| 2018-07-04 | €50k | Trabzonspor |
| 2020-02-04 | €25k | Boluspor |
| 2020-08-27 | €25k | Boluspor |
| 2021-01-18 | €100k | Ankara Demirspor |
| 2021-05-31 | €25k | Ankara Demirspor |
| 2022-01-17 | €75k | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2022-06-10 | €125k | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2022-10-27 | €200k | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2023-03-14 | €300k | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2023-06-08 | €200k | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2023-09-27 | €300k | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2023-12-21 | €600k | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2024-03-15 | €900k | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2024-05-31 | €1M | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2024-10-16 | €850k | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2025-01-09 | €700k | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2025-04-02 | €650k | Igdir FK |
| 2025-06-25 | €600k | Igdir FK |
| 2025-12-17 | €600k | Konyaspor |
| 2026-05-21 | €700k | Konyaspor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.225
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 29% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 35% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Güngördü appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- EsgaioRBFatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig€700k
- DenswilCBKayserispor · Süper Lig€700k
- AntalyalıDMCaykur Rizespor · Süper Lig€700k
- VerdeRWFatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig€700k
- BlaswichGKBayer 04 Leverkusen · goalkeepers€700k
- HornGKVfL Bochum · goalkeepers€700k
- DmitrovicGKRCD Espanyol Barcelona · goalkeepers€700k
- MüllerGKVfL Wolfsburg · goalkeepers€700k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).