
Danilho
Doekhi
Close-up
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
DanilhoDoekhi
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- 1.FC Union Berlin
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Netherlands
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Doekhi at €13M. Model A, which never saw Doekhi during training, estimates €7.7M: the market value is 69% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.69. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 73
- Minutes
- 6,600
- Goals
- 8
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 73/73
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 9Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Doekhi…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €13M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Feb 2016
- Peak
- €17M
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €13M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 27
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €13M, 1.FC Union Berlin. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-02-05 | €50k | Excelsior Rotterdam U19 |
| 2016-07-01 | €150k | Ajax Amsterdam U19 |
| 2017-02-02 | €150k | Ajax Amsterdam U19 |
| 2017-06-21 | €150k | Ajax Amsterdam U19 |
| 2018-03-01 | €250k | Ajax Amsterdam U21 |
| 2018-06-29 | €250k | Ajax Amsterdam U21 |
| 2018-12-28 | €500k | Vitesse Arnhem |
| 2019-06-12 | €750k | Vitesse Arnhem |
| 2019-09-19 | €900k | Vitesse Arnhem |
| 2019-12-18 | €900k | Vitesse Arnhem |
| 2020-04-08 | €800k | Vitesse Arnhem |
| 2020-10-14 | €800k | Vitesse Arnhem |
| 2021-01-06 | €1M | Vitesse Arnhem |
| 2021-03-09 | €2M | Vitesse Arnhem |
| 2021-05-19 | €3M | Vitesse Arnhem |
| 2022-01-05 | €3M | Vitesse Arnhem |
| 2022-06-08 | €4M | Vitesse Arnhem |
| 2022-11-09 | €4M | 1.FC Union Berlin |
| 2023-03-29 | €12M | 1.FC Union Berlin |
| 2023-06-22 | €17M | 1.FC Union Berlin |
| 2023-12-14 | €17M | 1.FC Union Berlin |
| 2024-05-29 | €17M | 1.FC Union Berlin |
| 2024-12-20 | €15M | 1.FC Union Berlin |
| 2025-03-27 | €13M | 1.FC Union Berlin |
| 2025-06-05 | €13M | 1.FC Union Berlin |
| 2025-12-19 | €13M | 1.FC Union Berlin |
| 2026-05-27 | €13M | 1.FC Union Berlin |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.524
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 74% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 86% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Doekhi appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- StageCMSV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga€14M
- GoretzkaCMBayern Munich · Bundesliga€12M
- NübelGKVfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga€12M
- DahmenGKFC Augsburg · Bundesliga€12M
- GomezCBLiverpool FC · defenders€13M
- HenryLBBrentford FC · defenders€13M
- AldereteCBSunderland AFC · defenders€13M
- ØstigårdCBGenoa CFC · defenders€13M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).





