Jon
Ceberio
CMSpain · Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi
Player dossierPremier Liha
JonCeberio
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Premier LihaReading the valuation
The market values Ceberio at €350k. Model A, which never saw Ceberio during training, estimates €368k: the market value is 5% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €621k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 25
- Minutes
- 1,853
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 22/25
- Min / app
- 74
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ceberio…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
88% this player69% midfielder median84th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2017
- Peak
- €350k
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €350k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 21
- 7 club changes
Jun 2026: €350k, Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-08-17 | €50k | Peña Sport FC |
| 2018-01-01 | €150k | Peña Sport FC |
| 2018-05-30 | €200k | Peña Sport FC |
| 2019-02-19 | €250k | Real Unión Club |
| 2019-06-29 | €250k | Real Unión Club |
| 2019-09-10 | €250k | UD Melilla |
| 2020-02-11 | €250k | UD Melilla |
| 2020-10-08 | €250k | CF Talavera de la Reina |
| 2021-01-08 | €250k | CF Talavera de la Reina |
| 2021-06-30 | €250k | CF Talavera de la Reina |
| 2021-12-30 | €300k | CF Talavera de la Reina |
| 2022-06-29 | €250k | CF Talavera de la Reina |
| 2022-12-29 | €250k | San Fernando CD (-2025) |
| 2023-06-30 | €200k | San Fernando CD (-2025) |
| 2023-12-20 | €200k | CF Intercity |
| 2024-06-24 | €200k | CF Intercity |
| 2024-10-14 | €150k | CD Lugo |
| 2024-12-18 | €150k | CD Lugo |
| 2025-06-25 | €150k | CD Lugo |
| 2025-12-18 | €250k | Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi |
| 2026-06-02 | €350k | Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.050
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 37% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 10% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ceberio appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MalyshCBIngulets Petrove · Premier Liha€350k
- SynytsyaRWLivyi Bereg Kyiv · Premier Liha€350k
- DumanyukDMFC Kudrivka · Premier Liha€350k
- MekhanivGKLivyi Bereg Kyiv · Premier Liha€350k
- KovalevRMBaltika Kaliningrad · midfielders€350k
- StaikosDMAE Larisa · midfielders€350k
- JuanpiAMVolos NFC · midfielders€350k
- LyonsCMKilmarnock FC · midfielders€350k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).