Riccardo
Sottil
LWItaly · US Lecce
Player dossierSerie A
RiccardoSottil
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- US Lecce
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Sottil at €3M. Model A, which never saw Sottil during training, estimates €3.7M: the market value is 19% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.24. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 50
- Minutes
- 2,255
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 25/50
- Min / app
- 45
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sottil…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
6% this player0% attacker median65th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Oct 2016
- Peak
- €9M
- Dec 2021
- Model target
- €3M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 24
- 7 club changes
May 2026: €3M, US Lecce. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-31 | €50k | Fiorentina Primavera |
| 2017-06-26 | €175k | Fiorentina Primavera |
| 2018-06-30 | €350k | Fiorentina Primavera |
| 2018-12-20 | €400k | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2019-06-05 | €1.5M | Delfino Pescara 1936 |
| 2019-10-08 | €2.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2019-12-12 | €4M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-04-08 | €3.6M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-08-25 | €3.6M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-10-29 | €5M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2020-12-29 | €7M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2021-06-03 | €7M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2021-12-28 | €9M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2022-06-07 | €9M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2022-11-11 | €9M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2023-06-15 | €8M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2023-12-20 | €8M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2024-03-12 | €6.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2024-06-05 | €6M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2024-12-18 | €6M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2025-06-17 | €5M | AC Milan |
| 2025-10-07 | €3.5M | US Lecce |
| 2025-12-23 | €3.5M | US Lecce |
| 2026-05-29 | €3M | US Lecce |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.212
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 29% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 52% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Sottil appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MkhitaryanCMInter Milan · Serie A€3M
- VrijCBInter Milan · Serie A€3M
- FreulerCMBologna FC 1909 · Serie A€3M
- GarciaLBUS Sassuolo · Serie A€3M
- WelbeckCFBrighton & Hove Albion · attackers€3M
- SterlingRWFeyenoord Rotterdam · attackers€3M
- BrumaLWSL Benfica · attackers€3M
- SilvaCFElche CF · attackers€3M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).