FairValue

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Mykhaylo

Shershen

CBUkraine · Vorskla Poltava

№ 385416Emerging €179k +0.80

Player dossierPremier Liha

MykhayloShershen

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Vorskla Poltava
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
30
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Shershen at €400k. Model A, which never saw Shershen during training, estimates €179k: the market value is 123% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €508k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.80A €179k▼ −0.24B €508k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
15
Minutes
1,292
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
15/15
Min / app
86
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Shershen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €179k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Mykhaylo Shershen's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 18th, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 3rd, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists18thMinutes97thStarts3rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player83% defender median97th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jun 2017
Peak
€500k
Dec 2021
Model target
€400k
Dec 2025
Valuations
18
5 club changes
Dec 2025€400kVorskla PoltavaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €400k, Vorskla Poltava. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-06-26€100kZorya Lugansk II
2018-01-04€125kAvangard Kramatorsk
2018-05-27€150kAvangard Kramatorsk
2018-12-02€175kAvangard Kramatorsk
2019-06-16€175kAvangard Kramatorsk
2019-12-18€200kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2020-08-18€200kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2020-12-05€200kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2021-06-17€300kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2021-12-20€500kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2022-05-18€500kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2022-12-06€400kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2023-06-21€300kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2023-12-11€350kIngulets Petrove
2024-06-06€400kIngulets Petrove
2024-12-17€400kIngulets Petrove
2025-06-10€400kFC Kudrivka
2025-12-18€400kVorskla Poltava

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.801

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 40% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 14% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Shershen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).