FairValue

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Tino

Kadewere

CFZimbabwe · Aris Thessaloniki

№ 384060Emerging €603k +0.91

Player dossierSuper League

TinoKadewere

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Aris Thessaloniki
League
Super League
Nationality
Zimbabwe
Age
30
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kadewere at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Kadewere during training, estimates €603k: the market value is 149% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €521k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.91A €603k▲ +1.06B €521k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
25
Minutes
1,031
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
11/25
Min / app
41
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kadewere…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €603k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Tino Kadewere's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 12th, Assists per 90 60th, Minutes, two years 20th, Starts 26th, Minutes, last 365 days 16th, European club minutes 60th12thGoals60thAssists20thMinutes26thStarts16thRecent60thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

3% this player0% attacker median60th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Aug 2015
Peak
€14M
Apr 2021
Model target
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
6 club changes
Jun 2026€1.5MAris ThessalonikiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.5M, Aris Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-08-16€100kDjurgårdens IF
2015-11-29€100kDjurgårdens IF
2016-06-17€100kDjurgårdens IF
2016-12-11€400kDjurgårdens IF
2017-06-20€200kDjurgårdens IF
2017-11-17€125kDjurgårdens IF
2018-06-20€800kDjurgårdens IF
2019-01-08€1.3MLe Havre AC
2019-09-30€2MLe Havre AC
2020-01-06€4MLe Havre AC
2020-02-11€8MLe Havre AC
2020-04-08€6.5MLe Havre AC
2020-10-15€6.5MOlympique Lyon
2021-01-07€12MOlympique Lyon
2021-04-09€14MOlympique Lyon
2021-06-04€13MOlympique Lyon
2021-12-16€8MOlympique Lyon
2022-05-30€6MOlympique Lyon
2022-11-07€5MRCD Mallorca
2023-06-13€4MRCD Mallorca
2023-10-16€3MOlympique Lyon
2023-12-18€2.5MOlympique Lyon
2024-06-03€2.5MFC Nantes
2024-10-07€3MFC Nantes
2024-12-10€3MFC Nantes
2025-06-03€2.5MFC Nantes
2025-12-12€1.8MAris Thessaloniki
2026-06-04€1.5MAris Thessaloniki

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.911

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 73% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kadewere appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).