FairValue

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Portrait of Steven Benda

Steven

Benda

GKGermany · Feyenoord Rotterdam

№ 381469Emerging €771k +0.26

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierEredivisie

StevenBenda

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Feyenoord Rotterdam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Germany
Age
27
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Benda at €1M. Model A, which never saw Benda during training, estimates €771k: the market value is 30% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €598k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.26A €771k▲ +0.51B €598k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
6
Minutes
540
Started
6/6
Min / app
90
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Benda…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €771k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Steven Benda's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 4th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 11th, European club minutes 32nd4thMinutes62ndStarts11thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2018
Peak
€1M
Oct 2023
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
16
5 club changes
May 2026€1MFeyenoord RotterdamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Feyenoord Rotterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-09-24€100kSwansea City
2019-06-28€100kSwansea City
2020-10-15€250kSwansea City
2021-03-10€250kSwansea City
2021-06-30€250kSwansea City
2021-11-24€250kSwansea City
2022-05-13€250kPeterborough United
2022-10-27€400kSwansea City
2023-06-01€400kSwansea City
2023-10-09€1MFulham FC
2023-12-19€1MFulham FC
2024-05-27€1MFulham FC
2024-12-16€1MFulham FC
2025-05-30€1MFulham FC
2025-12-03€1MMillwall FC
2026-05-28€1MFeyenoord Rotterdam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.261

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 46% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 48% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Benda appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).