FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Yevgen

Zaporozhets

CMUkraine · Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi

№ 380554Emerging €274k −0.09

Player dossierPremier Liha

YevgenZaporozhets

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
31
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Zaporozhets at €250k. Model A, which never saw Zaporozhets during training, estimates €274k: the market value is 9% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €865k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.09A €274k▼ −1.24B €865k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
29
Minutes
1,637
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
20/29
Min / app
56
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zaporozhets…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €274k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Yevgen Zaporozhets's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 56th, Minutes, two years 28th, Starts 49th, Minutes, last 365 days 53rd, European club minutes 30th10thGoals56thAssists28thMinutes49thStarts53rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.11 this player0.09 midfielder median56th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Feb 2017
Peak
€400k
Jan 2021
Model target
€250k
Jun 2026
Valuations
19
2 club changes
Jun 2026€250kEpicentr Kamyanets-PodilskyiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €250k, Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-02-09€100kIngulets Petrove
2018-01-04€150kIngulets Petrove
2018-05-27€175kIngulets Petrove
2018-12-02€175kIngulets Petrove
2019-06-16€200kIngulets Petrove
2019-12-18€250kIngulets Petrove
2020-08-18€300kIngulets Petrove
2021-01-14€400kIngulets Petrove
2021-06-07€400kIngulets Petrove
2021-12-20€400kIngulets Petrove
2022-05-18€400kIngulets Petrove
2022-12-06€400kIngulets Petrove
2023-06-21€400kIngulets Petrove
2023-12-11€400kIngulets Petrove
2024-06-06€250kObolon Kyiv
2024-12-17€250kEpicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi
2025-06-10€300kEpicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi
2025-12-18€250kEpicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi
2026-06-02€250kEpicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.091

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 17% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 5% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Zaporozhets appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).