Richarlison
CFBrazil · Tottenham Hotspur
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
Richarlison
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Tottenham Hotspur
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Richarlison at €25M. Model A, which never saw Richarlison during training, estimates €20.7M: the market value is 21% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €16.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 65
- Minutes
- 3,527
- Goals
- 17
- Assists
- 7
- Started
- 39/65
- Min / app
- 54
- Cards
- 12Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Richarlison…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €25M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
26% this player0% attacker median91st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €450k
- Sept 2015
- Peak
- €65M
- Mar 2020
- Model target
- €25M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 35
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €25M, Tottenham Hotspur. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-09-11 | €450k | América Futebol Clube (MG) |
| 2015-12-15 | €700k | América Futebol Clube (MG) |
| 2016-05-27 | €2M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2016-11-28 | €2M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2017-08-16 | €7M | Watford FC |
| 2018-01-02 | €20M | Watford FC |
| 2018-05-28 | €25M | Watford FC |
| 2018-08-13 | €35M | Everton FC |
| 2018-10-17 | €45M | Everton FC |
| 2018-12-19 | €45M | Everton FC |
| 2019-06-13 | €50M | Everton FC |
| 2019-12-10 | €60M | Everton FC |
| 2020-03-06 | €65M | Everton FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €52M | Everton FC |
| 2020-10-13 | €60M | Everton FC |
| 2021-03-18 | €60M | Everton FC |
| 2021-06-08 | €55M | Everton FC |
| 2021-12-23 | €55M | Everton FC |
| 2022-03-29 | €50M | Everton FC |
| 2022-06-15 | €48M | Everton FC |
| 2022-09-15 | €50M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2022-11-03 | €50M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2022-12-23 | €55M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2023-06-20 | €48M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2023-10-09 | €40M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2023-12-19 | €35M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2024-03-14 | €40M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2024-05-27 | €38M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2024-10-01 | €35M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2024-12-16 | €30M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2025-03-18 | €25M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2025-05-30 | €20M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2025-10-17 | €25M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2025-12-09 | €28M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2026-06-03 | €25M | Tottenham Hotspur |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.188
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 63% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 90% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Richarlison appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- WilsonRWFulham FC · Premier League€25M
- WatkinsCFAston Villa · Premier League€25M
- KluivertAMAFC Bournemouth · Premier League€25M
- AdamsDMAFC Bournemouth · Premier League€25M
- ScamaccaCFAtalanta BC · attackers€25M
- NkunkuCFAC Milan · attackers€25M
- OkaforLWLeeds United · attackers€25M
- OyarzabalCFReal Sociedad · attackers€25M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).