FairValue

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Moatasem

Al-Musrati

DMLibya · Hellas Verona

№ 377641Established €2.3M +0.69

Player dossierSerie A

MoatasemAl-Musrati

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Hellas Verona
League
Serie A
Nationality
Libya
Age
30
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Al-Musrati at €4.5M. Model A, which never saw Al-Musrati during training, estimates €2.3M: the market value is 100% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.00. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.69A €2.3M▲ +0.39B €3.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
54
Minutes
3,068
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
32/54
Min / app
57
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Al-Musrati…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4.5MModel A €2.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Moatasem Al-Musrati's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 33rd, Minutes, two years 58th, Starts 33rd, Minutes, last 365 days 29th, European club minutes 82nd52ndGoals33rdAssists58thMinutes33rdStarts29thRecent82ndEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

19% this player0% midfielder median82nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2017
Peak
€16M
Mar 2023
Model target
€4.5M
May 2026
Valuations
26
6 club changes
May 2026€4.5MHellas VeronaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €4.5M, Hellas Verona. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-06-30€50kVitória Guimarães SC B
2017-09-08€50kVitória Guimarães SC B
2018-02-23€75kVitória Guimarães SC B
2018-06-29€125kVitória Guimarães SC B
2019-02-12€300kVitória Guimarães SC B
2019-06-29€300kVitória Guimarães SC B
2019-12-30€800kVitória Guimarães SC
2020-04-08€650kRio Ave FC
2020-08-17€2MSC Braga
2021-01-28€5MSC Braga
2021-03-25€10MSC Braga
2021-05-21€12MSC Braga
2021-12-27€12MSC Braga
2022-05-31€12MSC Braga
2022-11-01€14MSC Braga
2023-03-02€16MSC Braga
2023-06-16€16MSC Braga
2023-12-27€16MSC Braga
2024-03-15€16MBesiktas JK
2024-05-31€14MBesiktas JK
2024-10-04€13MBesiktas JK
2024-12-23€11MBesiktas JK
2025-03-24€10MAS Monaco
2025-06-03€8MAS Monaco
2025-12-23€7MHellas Verona
2026-05-29€4.5MHellas Verona

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.693

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 42% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€4.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 64% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Al-Musrati appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).