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Oscar

Buch

RWDenmark · FC Fredericia

№ 376702Emerging €1M −0.96

Player dossierSuperliga

OscarBuch

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
FC Fredericia
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
29
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Buch at €400k. Model A, which never saw Buch during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 62% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.62. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.96A €1M▼ −1.20B €1.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
20
Minutes
1,459
Goals
9
Assists
1
Started
16/20
Min / app
73
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Buch…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Oscar Buch's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 92nd, Assists per 90 19th, Minutes, two years 30th, Starts 83rd, Minutes, last 365 days 56th, European club minutes 28th92ndGoals19thAssists30thMinutes83rdStarts56thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.56 this player0.26 attacker median92nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jan 2016
Peak
€450k
Dec 2025
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
22
6 club changes
May 2026€400kFC FredericiaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, FC Fredericia. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-01-25€25kFC Roskilde U19
2016-08-12€25kFC Roskilde
2016-12-12€50kFC Roskilde
2017-06-21€50kBrönshöj Boldklub
2017-12-18€25kBrönshöj Boldklub
2018-03-02€25kBrönshöj Boldklub
2018-12-21€50kBrönshöj Boldklub
2019-09-09€100kHvidovre IF
2019-12-22€100kHvidovre IF
2020-07-31€100kHvidovre IF
2020-12-23€200kHvidovre IF
2021-06-04€200kHvidovre IF
2021-12-28€200kHB Köge
2022-06-20€200kHB Köge
2022-12-22€150kHB Köge
2023-06-26€150kVendsyssel FF
2023-12-21€150kVendsyssel FF
2024-06-18€200kVendsyssel FF
2024-12-09€350kFC Fredericia
2025-06-16€350kFC Fredericia
2025-12-15€450kFC Fredericia
2026-05-25€400kFC Fredericia

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.963

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 17% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 11% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Buch appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).