FairValue

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Richard van der

Venne

AMNetherlands · RKC Waalwijk

№ 376675Emerging €194k +0.03

Player dossierEredivisie

Richard van derVenne

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
RKC Waalwijk
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
33
Height
173 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
16 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Venne at €200k. Model A, which never saw Venne during training, estimates €194k: the market value is 3% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €312k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.03A €194k▼ −0.44B €312k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
18
Minutes
762
Goals
4
Assists
1
Started
8/18
Min / app
42
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Venne…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €200kModel A €194k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Richard van der Venne's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 99th, Assists per 90 59th, Minutes, two years 7th, Starts 15th, Minutes, last 365 days 6th, European club minutes 30th99thGoals59thAssists7thMinutes15thStarts6thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.47 this player0.08 midfielder median99th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jul 2015
Peak
€500k
Apr 2023
Model target
€200k
Dec 2025
Valuations
24
5 club changes
Dec 2025€200kRKC WaalwijkValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €200k, RKC Waalwijk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-07-01€25kFC Oss
2016-02-05€75kFC Oss
2016-07-01€100kFC Oss
2017-02-02€100kFC Oss
2017-06-21€100kFC Oss
2018-03-01€250kFC Oss
2018-06-29€250kFC Oss
2019-01-21€325kGo Ahead Eagles
2019-07-03€400kGo Ahead Eagles
2020-03-12€400kRKC Waalwijk
2020-04-08€325kRKC Waalwijk
2020-10-14€325kRKC Waalwijk
2021-05-19€350kRKC Waalwijk
2022-01-05€350kRKC Waalwijk
2022-06-08€350kRKC Waalwijk
2023-04-05€500kMelbourne City FC
2023-10-19€300kFC St. Gallen 1879
2023-12-21€300kFC St. Gallen 1879
2024-03-28€100kFC St. Gallen 1879
2024-05-31€100kFC St. Gallen 1879
2024-10-14€300kRKC Waalwijk
2024-12-17€300kRKC Waalwijk
2025-05-28€225kRKC Waalwijk
2025-12-16€200kRKC Waalwijk

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.029

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 3% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 3% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Venne appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).