Josip
Sutalo
CBCroatia · Ajax Amsterdam
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Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierEredivisie
JosipSutalo
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Ajax Amsterdam
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Croatia
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
EredivisieReading the valuation
The market values Sutalo at €12M. Model A, which never saw Sutalo during training, estimates €7M: the market value is 72% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.72. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €20.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 76
- Minutes
- 6,193
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 67/76
- Min / app
- 81
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sutalo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
30% this player0% defender median95th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Dec 2019
- Peak
- €24M
- May 2025
- Model target
- €12M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 20
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €12M, Ajax Amsterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-12-27 | €150k | GNK Dinamo Zagreb II |
| 2020-07-27 | €650k | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2020-12-28 | €650k | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2021-06-10 | €750k | NK Istra 1961 |
| 2021-12-30 | €3.5M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2022-03-22 | €5M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2022-06-06 | €8M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2022-11-08 | €18M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2023-06-06 | €18M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2023-12-15 | €16M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2024-03-18 | €15M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2024-05-31 | €15M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2024-10-14 | €17M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2024-12-17 | €18M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2025-03-28 | €22M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2025-05-28 | €24M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2025-10-02 | €22M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2025-12-02 | €17M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2026-03-11 | €15M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2026-05-28 | €12M | Ajax Amsterdam |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.543
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 93% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 84% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Sutalo appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KoopmeinersDMAZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie€12M
- Salah-EddineLBPSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie€12M
- BosLBFeyenoord Rotterdam · Eredivisie€12M
- SanoCMNEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie€12M
- AkéCBManchester City · defenders€12M
- StonesCBManchester City · defenders€12M
- KehrerCBAS Monaco · defenders€12M
- MatvienkoCBShakhtar Donetsk · defenders€12M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).