Francisco
Tinaglini
GKUruguay · Panserraikos
Player dossierSuper League
FranciscoTinaglini
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Panserraikos
- League
- Super League
- Nationality
- Uruguay
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Super LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Tinaglini at €400k. Model A, which never saw Tinaglini during training, estimates €513k: the market value is 22% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.28. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €763k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 22
- Minutes
- 1,959
- Started
- 22/22
- Min / app
- 89
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tinaglini…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Feb 2017
- Peak
- €400k
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €400k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 14
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €400k, Panserraikos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-02-22 | €100k | CA River Plate Montevideo |
| 2019-03-03 | €150k | CA River Plate Montevideo |
| 2021-04-10 | €150k | Montevideo City Torque |
| 2021-09-10 | €150k | Montevideo City Torque |
| 2022-01-01 | €150k | Montevideo City Torque |
| 2022-06-02 | €300k | Montevideo City Torque |
| 2022-11-12 | €200k | Montevideo City Torque |
| 2023-07-17 | €150k | Club Atlético San Martín (Tucumán) |
| 2023-12-28 | €200k | Montevideo City Torque |
| 2024-06-25 | €300k | Montevideo City Torque |
| 2024-12-13 | €350k | Montevideo City Torque |
| 2025-06-10 | €400k | Montevideo City Torque |
| 2025-12-12 | €400k | Panserraikos |
| 2026-06-04 | €400k | Panserraikos |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.250
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Super League356 players · median €600k
Valued above 29% of the 356 Super League players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 21% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Tinaglini appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LovrenCBPAOK Thessaloniki · Super League€400k
- ChoutesiotisGKAtromitos Athens · Super League€400k
- HermannssonCBVolos NFC · Super League€400k
- GarcíaCBPanetolikos · Super League€400k
- ForsterGKAFC Bournemouth · goalkeepers€400k
- GuaitaGKParma Calcio 1913 · goalkeepers€400k
- CarlgrenGKFC Nantes · goalkeepers€400k
- AkkanGKGenclerbirligi Ankara · goalkeepers€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).