Dmytro
Topalov
LWUkraine · Shakhtar Donetsk
Player dossierPremier Liha
DmytroTopalov
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Shakhtar Donetsk
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Ukraine
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 176 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 18 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Topalov at €500k. Model A, which never saw Topalov during training, estimates €454k: the market value is 10% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €479k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 31
- Minutes
- 1,992
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 26/31
- Min / app
- 64
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Topalov…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
84% this player59% attacker median88th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €400k
- Jan 2020
- Peak
- €800k
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €500k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 14
- 4 club changes
Dec 2025: €500k, Shakhtar Donetsk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-01-08 | €400k | FC Mariupol |
| 2020-04-08 | €350k | FC Mariupol |
| 2020-09-04 | €500k | FC Mariupol |
| 2021-01-14 | €400k | FC Mariupol |
| 2021-06-07 | €500k | FC Mariupol |
| 2021-12-20 | €500k | FC Mariupol |
| 2022-05-18 | €500k | FC Mariupol |
| 2022-12-06 | €400k | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2023-06-21 | €800k | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2023-12-11 | €800k | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2024-06-06 | €700k | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 2024-12-17 | €700k | LNZ Cherkasy |
| 2025-06-10 | €600k | LNZ Cherkasy |
| 2025-12-18 | €500k | Shakhtar Donetsk |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.096
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 52% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 15% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Topalov appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- StepanenkoDMKolos Kovalivka · Premier Liha€500k
- ChachuaAMKarpaty Lviv · Premier Liha€500k
- PutryaRBLNZ Cherkasy · Premier Liha€500k
- KozakRMFC Oleksandriya · Premier Liha€500k
- ZuberLWAtromitos Athens · attackers€500k
- JongCFFC Porto · attackers€500k
- VerbicLWLevadiakos · attackers€500k
- KodroCFReal Zaragoza · attackers€500k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).