
Moise
Kean
Close-up
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierSerie A
MoiseKean
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- ACF Fiorentina
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 183 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Kean at €32M. Model A, which never saw Kean during training, estimates €18.5M: the market value is 73% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.73. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 62
- Minutes
- 5,023
- Goals
- 30
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 57/62
- Min / app
- 81
- Cards
- 11Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kean…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €32M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
92% this player59% attacker median96th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €600k
- Nov 2016
- Peak
- €50M
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €32M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 28
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €32M, ACF Fiorentina. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-14 | €600k | Juventus Primavera |
| 2017-06-26 | €1.5M | Juventus Primavera |
| 2017-10-13 | €2.5M | Hellas Verona |
| 2017-12-29 | €7M | Hellas Verona |
| 2018-06-07 | €12M | Hellas Verona |
| 2018-12-20 | €15M | Juventus FC |
| 2019-06-06 | €40M | Juventus FC |
| 2019-12-10 | €32M | Everton FC |
| 2020-03-09 | €28M | Everton FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €25M | Everton FC |
| 2020-10-15 | €25M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2021-01-07 | €30M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2021-04-09 | €35M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2021-05-25 | €35M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2021-12-28 | €32M | Juventus FC |
| 2022-03-15 | €28M | Juventus FC |
| 2022-06-07 | €24M | Juventus FC |
| 2022-11-11 | €20M | Juventus FC |
| 2023-06-15 | €18M | Juventus FC |
| 2023-12-20 | €18M | Juventus FC |
| 2024-06-05 | €14M | Juventus FC |
| 2024-10-18 | €18M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2024-12-18 | €30M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2025-03-25 | €40M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2025-06-17 | €50M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2025-12-23 | €45M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2026-03-24 | €40M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2026-05-29 | €32M | ACF Fiorentina |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.547
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 94% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 94% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Kean appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KaluluCBJuventus FC · Serie A€32M
- CastroCFBologna FC 1909 · Serie A€32M
- McKennieCMJuventus FC · Serie A€30M
- BuongiornoCBSSC Napoli · Serie A€30M
- GuirassyCFBorussia Dortmund · attackers€32M
- NdoyeRWNottingham Forest · attackers€32M
- BarnesLWNewcastle United · attackers€32M
- ElangaRWNewcastle United · attackers€32M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).







