FairValue

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Joseph

Aidoo

CBGhana · Celta de Vigo

№ 358250Emerging €2.1M −0.73

Player dossierLaLiga

JosephAidoo

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Celta de Vigo
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Ghana
Age
30
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Aidoo at €1M. Model A, which never saw Aidoo during training, estimates €2.1M: the market value is 52% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €736k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.73A €2.1M▲ +0.31B €736k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
1,619
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
18/23
Min / app
70
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Aidoo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €2.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Joseph Aidoo's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 25th, Starts 41st, Minutes, last 365 days 25th, European club minutes 70th18thGoals17thAssists25thMinutes41stStarts25thRecent70thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

8% this player0% defender median70th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Aug 2015
Peak
€8M
Sept 2019
Model target
€1M
Jun 2026
Valuations
33
4 club changes
Jun 2026€1MCelta de VigoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1M, Celta de Vigo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-08-16€75kHammarby IF
2015-11-29€75kHammarby IF
2016-06-17€75kHammarby IF
2016-12-11€250kHammarby IF
2017-06-20€500kHammarby IF
2017-10-20€1MKRC Genk
2018-01-09€2MKRC Genk
2018-03-30€2.5MKRC Genk
2018-06-03€3MKRC Genk
2018-09-11€4MKRC Genk
2018-12-27€4MKRC Genk
2019-06-10€4MKRC Genk
2019-09-10€8MCelta de Vigo
2019-12-20€8MCelta de Vigo
2020-04-08€6.5MCelta de Vigo
2020-10-08€7MCelta de Vigo
2021-01-05€7MCelta de Vigo
2021-06-10€6MCelta de Vigo
2021-10-13€5MCelta de Vigo
2021-12-30€5MCelta de Vigo
2022-06-03€7MCelta de Vigo
2022-11-07€7MCelta de Vigo
2023-03-23€8MCelta de Vigo
2023-06-13€8MCelta de Vigo
2023-10-13€6MCelta de Vigo
2023-12-22€4MCelta de Vigo
2024-06-07€4MCelta de Vigo
2024-10-11€3MCelta de Vigo
2024-12-27€2MCelta de Vigo
2025-03-21€1.4MReal Valladolid CF
2025-06-09€1.2MReal Valladolid CF
2025-12-12€1MCelta de Vigo
2026-06-05€1MCelta de Vigo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.733

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 8% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Aidoo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).