FairValue

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Alban

Lafont

GKCote d'Ivoire · Panathinaikos

№ 357117Established €3.6M −0.19

Player dossierSuper League

AlbanLafont

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Panathinaikos
League
Super League
Nationality
Cote d'Ivoire
Age
27
Height
196 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Lafont at €3M. Model A, which never saw Lafont during training, estimates €3.6M: the market value is 17% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.19A €3.6M▼ −0.39B €4.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
43
Minutes
3,855
Started
43/43
Min / app
90
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lafont…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €3.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Alban Lafont's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 66th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 73rd, European club minutes 89th66thMinutes62ndStarts73rdRecent89thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

24% this player0% goalkeeper median89th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Nov 2015
Peak
€20M
Mar 2023
Model target
€3M
Jun 2026
Valuations
32
3 club changes
Jun 2026€3MPanathinaikosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3M, Panathinaikos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-11-28€300kFC Toulouse
2016-02-04€800kFC Toulouse
2016-07-13€2.5MFC Toulouse
2016-11-01€4MFC Toulouse
2017-01-16€6.5MFC Toulouse
2017-06-01€8MFC Toulouse
2018-01-24€18MFC Toulouse
2018-06-04€18MFC Toulouse
2018-10-12€13MACF Fiorentina
2018-12-20€13MACF Fiorentina
2019-03-01€17MACF Fiorentina
2019-06-06€17MACF Fiorentina
2019-09-27€12MFC Nantes
2019-12-19€12MFC Nantes
2020-04-08€11MFC Nantes
2020-10-15€12.5MFC Nantes
2021-06-04€10MFC Nantes
2021-12-16€10MFC Nantes
2022-03-23€14MFC Nantes
2022-05-30€16MFC Nantes
2022-11-02€16MFC Nantes
2023-03-27€20MFC Nantes
2023-06-27€16MFC Nantes
2023-10-16€13MFC Nantes
2023-12-18€12MFC Nantes
2024-03-19€10MFC Nantes
2024-06-03€9MFC Nantes
2024-12-10€7MFC Nantes
2025-03-24€4MFC Nantes
2025-06-03€3MFC Nantes
2025-12-12€3MPanathinaikos
2026-06-04€3MPanathinaikos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.190

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 86% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 68% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lafont appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).