FairValue

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Bryan

Heynen

CMBelgium · KRC Genk

№ 356081Established €6.5M +0.20

Player dossierPro League

BryanHeynen

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
KRC Genk
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
29
Height
184 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Heynen at €8M. Model A, which never saw Heynen during training, estimates €6.5M: the market value is 22% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €12.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.20A €6.5M▼ −0.41B €12.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
81
Minutes
7,046
Goals
6
Assists
5
Started
78/81
Min / app
87
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Heynen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €6.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Bryan Heynen's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 47th, Assists per 90 35th, Minutes, two years 98th, Starts 95th, Minutes, last 365 days 100th, European club minutes 80th47thGoals35thAssists98thMinutes95thStarts100thRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

4,694 this player1,541 midfielder median100th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Sept 2015
Peak
€12M
Mar 2025
Model target
€8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
31
0 club changes
Jun 2026€8MKRC GenkValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €8M, KRC Genk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-09-15€400kKRC Genk
2015-10-22€800kKRC Genk
2016-02-07€800kKRC Genk
2016-07-15€600kKRC Genk
2017-01-21€1.2MKRC Genk
2017-06-06€1.7MKRC Genk
2018-01-09€1.7MKRC Genk
2018-06-03€1.7MKRC Genk
2018-12-27€3MKRC Genk
2019-06-10€7MKRC Genk
2019-12-13€7MKRC Genk
2020-04-08€5.5MKRC Genk
2020-10-16€4MKRC Genk
2021-01-04€6MKRC Genk
2021-03-17€8.2MKRC Genk
2021-06-07€9MKRC Genk
2022-01-06€8MKRC Genk
2022-04-12€6.5MKRC Genk
2022-09-07€7.5MKRC Genk
2022-11-04€9MKRC Genk
2023-03-22€11MKRC Genk
2023-06-09€11MKRC Genk
2023-12-19€11MKRC Genk
2024-03-22€10MKRC Genk
2024-06-04€10MKRC Genk
2024-12-11€10MKRC Genk
2025-03-26€12MKRC Genk
2025-06-12€11MKRC Genk
2025-12-10€10MKRC Genk
2026-03-13€8MKRC Genk
2026-06-04€8MKRC Genk

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.202

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 93% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 74% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Heynen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).