Amir
Murillo
RBPanama · Besiktas JK
Player dossierSüper Lig
AmirMurillo
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Besiktas JK
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Panama
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Murillo at €7M. Model A, which never saw Murillo during training, estimates €3.8M: the market value is 84% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.84. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 66
- Minutes
- 4,782
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 53/66
- Min / app
- 72
- Cards
- 12Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Murillo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Assists per 90
Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.
0.11 this player0.04 defender median80th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- May 2015
- Peak
- €10M
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €7M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 29
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €7M, Besiktas JK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-05-27 | €25k | San Francisco FC |
| 2017-03-04 | €150k | New York Red Bulls |
| 2017-05-24 | €150k | New York Red Bulls |
| 2017-12-05 | €500k | New York Red Bulls |
| 2018-05-02 | €500k | New York Red Bulls |
| 2018-07-16 | €1M | New York Red Bulls |
| 2018-12-15 | €1.3M | New York Red Bulls |
| 2019-05-27 | €1.3M | New York Red Bulls |
| 2019-11-30 | €1.1M | New York Red Bulls |
| 2020-02-11 | €2.5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2020-03-30 | €3.5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2020-04-08 | €2.8M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2020-10-16 | €4M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2021-06-07 | €4M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2021-10-06 | €3.5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2022-01-06 | €4M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2022-04-12 | €4M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2022-05-26 | €3.5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2022-11-04 | €3M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2023-06-09 | €3M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2023-12-18 | €3M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2024-06-03 | €4M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2024-07-19 | €5M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2024-12-10 | €7M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2025-03-24 | €9M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2025-06-03 | €10M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2025-12-15 | €10M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2026-03-05 | €8M | Besiktas JK |
| 2026-05-21 | €7M | Besiktas JK |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.609
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 87% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 76% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Murillo appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CernyRWBesiktas JK · Süper Lig€7M
- TaliscaAMFenerbahce · Süper Lig€7M
- HolseAMSamsunspor · Süper Lig€7M
- MüldürRBFenerbahce · Süper Lig€7M
- HenrichsRBRB Leipzig · defenders€7M
- RobertsonLBLiverpool FC · defenders€7M
- HermosoCBAS Roma · defenders€7M
- BensebainiCBBorussia Dortmund · defenders€7M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).