Benjamin
Pavard
CBFrance · Olympique Marseille
Close-up
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierLigue 1
BenjaminPavard
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Olympique Marseille
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Pavard at €12M. Model A, which never saw Pavard during training, estimates €9.3M: the market value is 29% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 73
- Minutes
- 5,317
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 61/73
- Min / app
- 73
- Cards
- 15Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pavard…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
28% this player0% defender median94th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Jul 2015
- Peak
- €50M
- Mar 2024
- Model target
- €12M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 36
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €12M, Olympique Marseille. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-07-02 | €250k | LOSC Lille |
| 2015-09-06 | €500k | LOSC Lille |
| 2016-02-04 | €800k | LOSC Lille |
| 2016-07-13 | €800k | LOSC Lille |
| 2016-10-06 | €3M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2017-01-23 | €3M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2017-06-27 | €3.5M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2017-10-18 | €5M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2017-12-28 | €12M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2018-04-04 | €25M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2018-06-05 | €30M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2018-07-16 | €40M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2018-12-18 | €35M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2019-06-05 | €30M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2019-10-02 | €35M | Bayern Munich |
| 2019-12-17 | €35M | Bayern Munich |
| 2020-04-08 | €28M | Bayern Munich |
| 2020-07-08 | €40M | Bayern Munich |
| 2020-09-16 | €45M | Bayern Munich |
| 2021-02-10 | €35M | Bayern Munich |
| 2021-06-01 | €35M | Bayern Munich |
| 2021-12-22 | €30M | Bayern Munich |
| 2022-06-09 | €30M | Bayern Munich |
| 2022-11-09 | €35M | Bayern Munich |
| 2023-06-22 | €40M | Bayern Munich |
| 2023-12-20 | €40M | Inter Milan |
| 2024-03-12 | €50M | Inter Milan |
| 2024-06-05 | €50M | Inter Milan |
| 2024-10-18 | €45M | Inter Milan |
| 2024-12-18 | €40M | Inter Milan |
| 2025-03-25 | €30M | Inter Milan |
| 2025-06-17 | €25M | Inter Milan |
| 2025-10-10 | €20M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2025-12-15 | €20M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2026-03-27 | €15M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2026-06-01 | €12M | Olympique Marseille |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.253
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 72% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 84% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Pavard appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KehrerCBAS Monaco · Ligue 1€12M
- SzymanskiAMStade Rennais FC · Ligue 1€12M
- CamaraCMStade Rennais FC · Ligue 1€12M
- ÉdouardCFRC Lens · Ligue 1€12M
- AkéCBManchester City · defenders€12M
- StonesCBManchester City · defenders€12M
- MatvienkoCBShakhtar Donetsk · defenders€12M
- BakuRBRB Leipzig · defenders€12M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).