FairValue

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Jerdy

Schouten

DMNetherlands · PSV Eindhoven

№ 347900Elite €10.9M +0.60

Player dossierEredivisie

JerdySchouten

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
PSV Eindhoven
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
29
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Schouten at €20M. Model A, which never saw Schouten during training, estimates €10.9M: the market value is 83% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.83. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.60A €10.9M▲ +0.97B €7.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
70
Minutes
5,662
Goals
3
Assists
4
Started
67/70
Min / app
81
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Schouten…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €20M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €20MModel A €10.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Jerdy Schouten's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 33rd, Assists per 90 35th, Minutes, two years 92nd, Starts 94th, Minutes, last 365 days 97th, European club minutes 87th33rdGoals35thAssists92ndMinutes94thStarts97thRecent87thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,416 this player1,541 midfielder median97th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2016
Peak
€35M
Oct 2024
Model target
€20M
May 2026
Valuations
29
4 club changes
May 2026€20MPSV EindhovenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €20M, PSV Eindhoven. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-07-15€50kADO Den Haag
2017-01-18€50kADO Den Haag
2017-06-07€75kADO Den Haag
2018-03-01€150kSC Telstar
2018-06-29€300kSC Telstar
2018-10-04€500kSBV Excelsior
2018-12-28€1MSBV Excelsior
2019-03-13€2MSBV Excelsior
2019-06-12€2MSBV Excelsior
2019-12-12€2MBologna FC 1909
2020-03-03€4MBologna FC 1909
2020-04-08€3.2MBologna FC 1909
2020-08-25€3.5MBologna FC 1909
2020-12-29€7MBologna FC 1909
2021-06-03€9MBologna FC 1909
2021-12-28€8MBologna FC 1909
2022-06-07€9MBologna FC 1909
2022-11-11€8.5MBologna FC 1909
2023-06-15€12MBologna FC 1909
2023-10-17€16MPSV Eindhoven
2023-12-15€22MPSV Eindhoven
2024-03-18€24MPSV Eindhoven
2024-05-31€28MPSV Eindhoven
2024-10-14€35MPSV Eindhoven
2024-12-17€32MPSV Eindhoven
2025-03-28€25MPSV Eindhoven
2025-05-28€22MPSV Eindhoven
2025-12-02€22MPSV Eindhoven
2026-05-28€20MPSV Eindhoven

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.603

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Joint 10th highest observed value among 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 88% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Schouten appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).