Dujon
Sterling
RBEngland · Rangers FC
Player dossierPremiership
DujonSterling
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Rangers FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Sterling at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Sterling during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 96% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.96. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 44
- Minutes
- 2,416
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 26/44
- Min / app
- 55
- Cards
- 9Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sterling…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
16% this player0% defender median79th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1M
- Oct 2019
- Peak
- €4M
- May 2024
- Model target
- €2.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 16
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €2.5M, Rangers FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-17 | €1M | Wigan Athletic |
| 2020-02-27 | €1M | Wigan Athletic |
| 2020-04-08 | €900k | Wigan Athletic |
| 2021-11-24 | €1M | Blackpool FC |
| 2022-05-13 | €1M | Blackpool FC |
| 2022-09-14 | €700k | Stoke City |
| 2022-10-27 | €800k | Stoke City |
| 2023-06-01 | €2.8M | Chelsea FC U21 |
| 2023-12-05 | €2.5M | Rangers FC |
| 2024-03-20 | €3M | Rangers FC |
| 2024-05-30 | €4M | Rangers FC |
| 2024-12-03 | €4M | Rangers FC |
| 2025-06-17 | €3.5M | Rangers FC |
| 2025-10-08 | €3.2M | Rangers FC |
| 2025-12-10 | €2.5M | Rangers FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €2.5M | Rangers FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.675
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 86% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 54% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Sterling appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CorneliusCBRangers FC · Premiership€2.5M
- BajramiAMRangers FC · Premiership€2.5M
- AaronsRBRangers FC · Premiership€2.5M
- MiovskiCFRangers FC · Premiership€2.5M
- GraditCBRC Lens · defenders€2.5M
- MainkaCB1.FC Heidenheim 1846 · defenders€2.5M
- CoufalRBTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · defenders€2.5M
- StarkCBSV Werder Bremen · defenders€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).