FairValue

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Portrait of Trevoh Chalobah

Trevoh

Chalobah

CBEngland · Chelsea FC

№ 346314World Class €41.9M −0.05

Photo: Bryan Berlin / WikiPortraits, CC BY-SA 4.0 (background removed)

Player dossierPremier League

TrevohChalobah

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Chelsea FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
England
Age
26
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Chalobah at €40M. Model A, which never saw Chalobah during training, estimates €41.9M: the market value is 5% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €48.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.05A €41.9M▼ −0.19B €48.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
78
Minutes
6,177
Goals
6
Assists
2
Started
69/78
Min / app
79
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Chalobah…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €40M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €40MModel A €41.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Trevoh Chalobah's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 82nd, Assists per 90 43rd, Minutes, two years 94th, Starts 65th, Minutes, last 365 days 99th, European club minutes 78th82ndGoals43rdAssists94thMinutes65thStarts99thRecent78thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

4,113 this player1,687 defender median99th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1M
Sept 2018
Peak
€40M
Mar 2026
Model target
€40M
Jun 2026
Valuations
23
6 club changes
Jun 2026€40MChelsea FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €40M, Chelsea FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-09-24€1MIpswich Town
2019-06-13€3MChelsea FC U23
2020-02-27€3MHuddersfield Town
2020-04-08€2.7MHuddersfield Town
2020-10-15€2.7MFC Lorient
2021-04-09€3MFC Lorient
2021-06-04€3.5MFC Lorient
2021-10-05€10MChelsea FC
2021-12-23€18MChelsea FC
2022-03-29€20MChelsea FC
2022-06-15€20MChelsea FC
2022-11-03€22MChelsea FC
2023-06-20€18MChelsea FC
2023-12-19€18MChelsea FC
2024-03-14€13MChelsea FC
2024-05-27€13MChelsea FC
2024-12-16€13MCrystal Palace
2025-03-18€17MChelsea FC
2025-05-30€25MChelsea FC
2025-10-17€32MChelsea FC
2025-12-09€35MChelsea FC
2026-03-09€40MChelsea FC
2026-06-03€40MChelsea FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.046

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 83% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€40MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 97% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€40MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Chalobah appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).