FairValue

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Carlo

Holse

AMDenmark · Samsunspor

№ 345577Established €6.1M +0.13

Player dossierSüper Lig

CarloHolse

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Samsunspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Denmark
Age
26
Height
177 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Holse at €7M. Model A, which never saw Holse during training, estimates €6.1M: the market value is 14% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.14. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.13A €6.1M▼ −0.17B €8.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
67
Minutes
5,591
Goals
15
Assists
6
Started
64/67
Min / app
83
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Holse…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7MModel A €6.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Carlo Holse's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 88th, Assists per 90 51st, Minutes, two years 92nd, Starts 94th, Minutes, last 365 days 88th, European club minutes 60th88thGoals51stAssists92ndMinutes94thStarts88thRecent60thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

96% this player69% midfielder median94th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2017
Peak
€7M
May 2026
Model target
€7M
May 2026
Valuations
24
4 club changes
May 2026€7MSamsunsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €7M, Samsunspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-09-06€100kFC Copenhagen
2017-12-18€250kFC Copenhagen
2018-06-02€250kFC Copenhagen
2018-12-21€400kFC Copenhagen
2019-06-08€700kEsbjerg fB
2019-09-09€1MFC Copenhagen
2019-12-22€1.3MFC Copenhagen
2020-04-08€1.1MRosenborg BK
2020-07-25€900kRosenborg BK
2020-12-31€1MRosenborg BK
2022-01-03€1.6MRosenborg BK
2022-12-09€2.5MRosenborg BK
2023-06-29€2.5MRosenborg BK
2023-09-27€3.3MSamsunspor
2023-12-21€3MSamsunspor
2024-03-15€3.2MSamsunspor
2024-05-31€3.2MSamsunspor
2024-10-04€3.2MSamsunspor
2024-12-23€3.4MSamsunspor
2025-03-20€3.4MSamsunspor
2025-06-18€3.8MSamsunspor
2025-10-01€4.5MSamsunspor
2025-12-17€6MSamsunspor
2026-05-21€7MSamsunspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.132

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 87% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 71% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Holse appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).