Gökdeniz
Bayrakdar
RWTürkiye · Bodrum FK
Player dossierSüper Lig
GökdenizBayrakdar
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Bodrum FK
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Türkiye
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 29 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Bayrakdar at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Bayrakdar during training, estimates €710k: the market value is 69% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.69. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €596k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 28
- Minutes
- 1,530
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 17/28
- Min / app
- 55
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bayrakdar…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
61% this player59% attacker median53rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €125k
- Aug 2020
- Peak
- €4M
- May 2021
- Model target
- €1.2M
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 22
- 1 club change
Dec 2025: €1.2M, Bodrum FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-08-15 | €125k | Antalyaspor |
| 2020-10-12 | €200k | Antalyaspor |
| 2020-12-23 | €1M | Antalyaspor |
| 2021-03-16 | €3.7M | Antalyaspor |
| 2021-05-21 | €4M | Antalyaspor |
| 2021-10-12 | €4M | Antalyaspor |
| 2022-01-04 | €3.5M | Antalyaspor |
| 2022-03-31 | €3M | Antalyaspor |
| 2022-06-01 | €2.8M | Antalyaspor |
| 2022-10-27 | €2.7M | Antalyaspor |
| 2023-04-03 | €2.2M | Bodrum FK |
| 2023-06-21 | €1.5M | Bodrum FK |
| 2023-10-20 | €1.5M | Bodrum FK |
| 2023-12-29 | €1.5M | Bodrum FK |
| 2024-03-26 | €1.7M | Bodrum FK |
| 2024-06-13 | €2.5M | Bodrum FK |
| 2024-10-04 | €2.5M | Bodrum FK |
| 2024-12-23 | €2.2M | Bodrum FK |
| 2025-03-20 | €2.1M | Bodrum FK |
| 2025-06-18 | €1.8M | Bodrum FK |
| 2025-10-08 | €1.4M | Bodrum FK |
| 2025-12-29 | €1.2M | Bodrum FK |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.524
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 45% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bayrakdar appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- YokuşluDMTrabzonspor · Süper Lig€1.2M
- ThiamCFEyüpspor · Süper Lig€1.2M
- StormLWAntalyaspor · Süper Lig€1.2M
- HajradinovicAMKasimpasa · Süper Lig€1.2M
- SánchezSSSevilla FC · attackers€1.2M
- PerišićLWPSV Eindhoven · attackers€1.2M
- PortuRWGirona FC · attackers€1.2M
- BakambuCFReal Betis Balompié · attackers€1.2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).