Habib
Diallo
CFSenegal · FC Metz
Player dossierLigue 1
HabibDiallo
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- FC Metz
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Senegal
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Diallo at €4M. Model A, which never saw Diallo during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 217% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×3.17. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 25
- Minutes
- 1,911
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 21/25
- Min / app
- 76
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Diallo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
84% this player59% attacker median88th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Sept 2015
- Peak
- €18M
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €4M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 28
- 6 club changes
Jun 2026: €4M, FC Metz. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-09-06 | €150k | FC Metz |
| 2016-02-04 | €200k | FC Metz |
| 2016-07-13 | €800k | FC Metz |
| 2017-01-16 | €1.3M | FC Metz |
| 2017-03-20 | €1.5M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2017-06-15 | €1.5M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2018-05-16 | €1.5M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2019-01-08 | €3.5M | FC Metz |
| 2019-06-03 | €4M | FC Metz |
| 2019-06-27 | €6M | FC Metz |
| 2019-12-19 | €10M | FC Metz |
| 2020-03-13 | €15M | FC Metz |
| 2020-04-08 | €12M | FC Metz |
| 2020-10-15 | €12M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2021-06-04 | €10M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2021-12-16 | €12M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2022-05-30 | €12M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2022-11-02 | €12M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2023-03-27 | €14M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2023-06-27 | €18M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2023-10-24 | €14M | Al-Shabab FC |
| 2023-12-15 | €12M | Al-Shabab FC |
| 2024-06-04 | €11M | Al-Shabab FC |
| 2024-12-13 | €8M | Damac FC |
| 2025-05-27 | €6.5M | Damac FC |
| 2025-10-10 | €6M | FC Metz |
| 2025-12-15 | €5M | FC Metz |
| 2026-06-01 | €4M | FC Metz |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.155
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 37% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 59% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Diallo appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TagliaficoLBOlympique Lyon · Ligue 1€4M
- ClaussRBOGC Nice · Ligue 1€4M
- DierCBAS Monaco · Ligue 1€4M
- ThomassonCMRC Lens · Ligue 1€4M
- IcardiCFGalatasaray · attackers€4M
- WilsonCFWest Ham United · attackers€4M
- TraoréRWSunderland AFC · attackers€4M
- GrifoLWSC Freiburg · attackers€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).