FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Ivan

Kalyuzhnyi

CMUkraine · Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

№ 343151Established €1.1M +0.57

Player dossierPremier Liha

IvanKalyuzhnyi

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
28
Height
189 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kalyuzhnyi at €2M. Model A, which never saw Kalyuzhnyi during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 76% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.76. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.57A €1.1M▼ −0.26B €2.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
59
Minutes
5,270
Goals
5
Assists
5
Started
59/59
Min / app
89
Cards
19Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kalyuzhnyi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Ivan Kalyuzhnyi's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 51st, Assists per 90 46th, Minutes, two years 89th, Starts 99th, Minutes, last 365 days 86th, European club minutes 30th51stGoals46thAssists89thMinutes99thStarts86thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player69% midfielder median99th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Aug 2018
Peak
€2M
Jun 2025
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
18
7 club changes
Jun 2026€2MMetalist 1925 KharkivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-08-09€25kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2018-12-02€200kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2019-06-16€200kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2019-12-18€250kRukh Lviv
2020-08-18€300kRukh Lviv
2021-01-14€250kDynamo Kyiv II
2021-06-07€200kFC Oleksandriya
2021-12-20€400kFC Oleksandriya
2023-01-05€525kKerala Blasters FC
2023-05-10€550kKerala Blasters FC
2023-12-11€400kLNZ Cherkasy
2024-06-06€400kFC Oleksandriya
2024-09-03€500kFC Oleksandriya
2024-12-17€1.2MFC Oleksandriya
2025-03-21€1.5MFC Oleksandriya
2025-06-10€2MFC Oleksandriya
2025-12-18€2MMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2026-06-02€2MMetalist 1925 Kharkiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.566

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 88% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kalyuzhnyi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).