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Antoine

Bernier

RWBelgium · Royal Charleroi SC

№ 340343Emerging €3M −0.69

Player dossierPro League

AntoineBernier

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Royal Charleroi SC
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
28
Height
170 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bernier at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Bernier during training, estimates €3M: the market value is 50% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.00. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.69A €3M▼ −1.11B €4.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
4,202
Goals
10
Assists
8
Started
52/68
Min / app
62
Cards
12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bernier…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Antoine Bernier's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 40th, Assists per 90 59th, Minutes, two years 83rd, Starts 78th, Minutes, last 365 days 87th, European club minutes 62nd40thGoals59thAssists83rdMinutes78thStarts87thRecent62ndEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,524 this player1,301 attacker median87th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2018
Peak
€1.5M
Jun 2025
Model target
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
19
3 club changes
Jun 2026€1.5MRoyal Charleroi SCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.5M, Royal Charleroi SC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-07-05€100kRoyal Antwerp FC
2019-07-19€100kF91 Dudelange
2020-01-15€200kF91 Dudelange
2020-08-20€200kRFC Seraing
2020-10-21€400kRFC Seraing
2021-10-06€450kRFC Seraing
2022-01-06€600kRFC Seraing
2022-04-12€600kRFC Seraing
2022-11-04€900kRFC Seraing
2023-03-22€1.2MRFC Seraing
2023-06-09€1MRFC Seraing
2023-10-23€800kRoyal Charleroi SC
2023-12-19€700kRoyal Charleroi SC
2024-06-04€700kRoyal Charleroi SC
2024-10-02€1MRoyal Charleroi SC
2024-12-11€1.2MRoyal Charleroi SC
2025-06-12€1.5MRoyal Charleroi SC
2025-12-10€1.5MRoyal Charleroi SC
2026-06-04€1.5MRoyal Charleroi SC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.694

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 39% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bernier appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).