FairValue

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François

Kamano

LWGuinea · FC Sochi

№ 333802Emerging €572k +0.74

Player dossierPremier Liga

FrançoisKamano

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
FC Sochi
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Guinea
Age
30
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kamano at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Kamano during training, estimates €572k: the market value is 110% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €623k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.74A €572k▲ +0.65B €623k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
17
Minutes
732
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
9/17
Min / app
43
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kamano…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €572k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

François Kamano's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 47th, Assists per 90 41st, Minutes, two years 10th, Starts 40th, Minutes, last 365 days 26th, European club minutes 28th47thGoals41stAssists10thMinutes40thStarts26thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.25 this player0.26 attacker median47th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Nov 2014
Peak
€15M
Jun 2019
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
30
5 club changes
May 2026€1.2MFC SochiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, FC Sochi. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-11-20€500kSC Bastia
2015-01-14€500kSC Bastia
2015-06-06€1.5MSC Bastia
2015-09-06€2MSC Bastia
2016-02-04€2MSC Bastia
2016-07-13€2.5MSC Bastia
2017-01-16€3MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2017-06-01€4.5MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2017-10-12€7MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2018-01-24€7MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2018-06-04€7MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2018-10-24€12MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2018-12-17€14MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2019-06-03€15MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2019-12-19€12MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2020-03-13€10MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2020-04-08€8MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2020-12-29€5MLokomotiv Moscow
2021-06-02€6.5MLokomotiv Moscow
2021-12-29€6.5MLokomotiv Moscow
2022-06-02€5MLokomotiv Moscow
2022-11-21€4MLokomotiv Moscow
2023-06-14€4MLokomotiv Moscow
2023-12-15€3.5MAbha Club
2024-06-04€3.2MAbha Club
2024-12-13€3MDamac FC
2025-05-27€2.5MDamac FC
2025-12-16€2MFC Sochi
2026-03-25€1.8MFC Sochi
2026-05-26€1.2MFC Sochi

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.741

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 51% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kamano appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).