FairValue

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Kubilay

Kanatsızkuş

CFTürkiye · Kasimpasa

№ 330876Emerging €629k −0.45

Player dossierSüper Lig

KubilayKanatsızkuş

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Kasimpasa
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
29
Height
190 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kanatsızkuş at €400k. Model A, which never saw Kanatsızkuş during training, estimates €629k: the market value is 36% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.57. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.45A €629k▼ −1.08B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
1,424
Goals
5
Assists
2
Started
16/39
Min / app
37
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kanatsızkuş…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €629k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Kubilay Kanatsızkuş's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 59th, Assists per 90 42nd, Minutes, two years 29th, Starts 22nd, Minutes, last 365 days 27th, European club minutes 28th59thGoals42ndAssists29thMinutes22ndStarts27thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.32 this player0.26 attacker median59th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Apr 2016
Peak
€2M
Jan 2017
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
33
6 club changes
May 2026€400kKasimpasaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, Kasimpasa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-04-11€300kBursaspor
2016-07-15€1MBursaspor
2017-01-10€2MBursaspor
2017-06-09€2MBursaspor
2018-02-12€1.5MBursaspor
2018-05-29€1MBursaspor
2019-01-04€1MMKE Ankaragücü
2019-06-04€650kBursaspor
2019-10-16€750kBursaspor
2020-02-04€750kBursaspor
2020-04-08€600kBursaspor
2020-08-27€750kBursaspor
2020-12-23€950kYeni Malatyaspor
2021-03-16€1MYeni Malatyaspor
2021-05-21€1MYeni Malatyaspor
2021-10-12€800kYeni Malatyaspor
2022-01-04€700kYeni Malatyaspor
2022-03-31€350kCaykur Rizespor
2022-06-01€275kCaykur Rizespor
2022-11-15€225kCaykur Rizespor
2023-04-03€250kCaykur Rizespor
2023-06-23€300kCaykur Rizespor
2023-10-20€300kGöztepe
2023-12-29€250kGöztepe
2024-03-26€225kGöztepe
2024-06-13€275kGöztepe
2024-10-04€325kGöztepe
2024-12-23€300kGöztepe
2025-03-20€300kGöztepe
2025-06-18€600kGöztepe
2025-10-01€500kKasimpasa
2025-12-17€500kKasimpasa
2026-05-21€400kKasimpasa

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.453

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 15% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 11% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kanatsızkuş appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).