Kjetil
Haug
GKNorway · FC Toulouse
Player dossierLigue 1
KjetilHaug
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- FC Toulouse
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Norway
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 191 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Haug at €400k. Model A, which never saw Haug during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 62% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.60. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €602k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 7
- Minutes
- 527
- Started
- 5/7
- Min / app
- 75
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Haug…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% goalkeeper median32nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jan 2018
- Peak
- €600k
- Mar 2025
- Model target
- €400k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 14
- 6 club changes
Jun 2026: €400k, FC Toulouse. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-01-01 | €50k | Manchester City U23 |
| 2019-12-29 | €50k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2020-12-31 | €100k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2022-01-03 | €300k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2022-07-01 | €400k | FC Toulouse |
| 2022-11-02 | €400k | FC Toulouse |
| 2023-06-27 | €400k | FC Toulouse |
| 2023-12-15 | €400k | Sarpsborg 08 FF |
| 2024-06-12 | €450k | FK Bodø/Glimt |
| 2024-12-12 | €450k | Odds BK |
| 2025-03-24 | €600k | FC Toulouse |
| 2025-06-03 | €600k | FC Toulouse |
| 2025-12-15 | €500k | FC Toulouse |
| 2026-06-01 | €400k | FC Toulouse |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.956
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 2% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 21% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Haug appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- RadakovicCBFC Nantes · Ligue 1€400k
- CarlgrenGKFC Nantes · Ligue 1€400k
- PercinGKAJ Auxerre · Ligue 1€400k
- SarrRBFC Metz · Ligue 1€350k
- ForsterGKAFC Bournemouth · goalkeepers€400k
- GuaitaGKParma Calcio 1913 · goalkeepers€400k
- ChoutesiotisGKAtromitos Athens · goalkeepers€400k
- AkkanGKGenclerbirligi Ankara · goalkeepers€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).