Matvey
Safonov
GKRussia · Paris Saint-Germain
Player dossierLigue 1
MatveySafonov
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Paris Saint-Germain
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Safonov at €30M. Model A, which never saw Safonov during training, estimates €19.7M: the market value is 52% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.52. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €11.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 37
- Minutes
- 3,308
- Started
- 36/37
- Min / app
- 89
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Safonov…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €30M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
33% this player0% goalkeeper median96th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Aug 2015
- Peak
- €30M
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €30M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 27
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €30M, Paris Saint-Germain. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-08-25 | €200k | FC Krasnodar II |
| 2016-12-02 | €250k | FC Krasnodar II |
| 2017-06-01 | €250k | FC Krasnodar II |
| 2017-11-24 | €300k | FC Krasnodar II |
| 2018-06-06 | €300k | FC Krasnodar II |
| 2018-10-15 | €400k | FC Krasnodar 2 |
| 2018-12-20 | €900k | FC Krasnodar 2 |
| 2019-04-24 | €2.5M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2019-06-14 | €6M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2019-12-23 | €10M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2020-04-08 | €9M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2020-07-29 | €9.5M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2020-10-19 | €11M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2020-12-29 | €15M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2021-05-26 | €14M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2021-12-29 | €16M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2022-06-02 | €16M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2022-11-21 | €15M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2023-06-14 | €16M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2023-12-13 | €18M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2024-06-04 | €20M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2024-12-10 | €22M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2025-06-03 | €20M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2025-10-10 | €18M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2025-12-15 | €15M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2026-03-27 | €22M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2026-06-01 | €30M | Paris Saint-Germain |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.421
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 92% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Joint 8th highest observed value among 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Safonov appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- RuizCMParis Saint-Germain · Ligue 1€30M
- RamosCFParis Saint-Germain · Ligue 1€30M
- MortonDMOlympique Lyon · Ligue 1€30M
- FofanaLWOlympique Lyon · Ligue 1€30M
- RayaGKArsenal FC · goalkeepers€30M
- CarnesecchiGKAtalanta BC · goalkeepers€30M
- RisserGKRC Lens · goalkeepers€30M
- HendersonGKCrystal Palace · goalkeepers€28M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).