Scott

McTominay

CMScotland · SSC Napoli

№ 315969World Class €23.6M +0.53

Photo: Bryan Berlin / WikiPortraits, CC BY-SA 4.0 (background removed)

Player dossierSerie A

ScottMcTominay

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club: SSC Napoli
League: Serie A
Nationality: Scotland
Age: 29
Height: 193 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values McTominay at €40M. Model A, which never saw McTominay during training, estimates €23.6M: the market value is 69% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.69. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €15.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 83
Minutes: 6,722
Goals: 27
Assists: 10
Started: 74/83
Min / app: 81
Cards: 5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for McTominay…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €40M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,701 this player1,541 midfielder median97th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €1M; Jan 2018
Peak: €50M; Jun 2025
Model target: €40M; May 2026
Valuations: 24; 1 club change

May 2026€40MSSC NapoliValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €40M, SSC Napoli. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2018-01-02	€1M	Manchester United
2018-03-23	€7M	Manchester United
2018-05-28	€7M	Manchester United
2018-12-19	€7M	Manchester United
2019-06-13	€12M	Manchester United
2019-09-12	€20M	Manchester United
2019-12-10	€28M	Manchester United
2020-04-08	€22.5M	Manchester United
2020-10-13	€22.5M	Manchester United
2020-12-17	€25M	Manchester United
2021-03-18	€30M	Manchester United
2021-05-28	€35M	Manchester United
2021-12-23	€35M	Manchester United
2022-06-15	€32M	Manchester United
2022-11-03	€30M	Manchester United
2023-03-16	€25M	Manchester United
2023-06-20	€25M	Manchester United
2023-12-19	€28M	Manchester United
2024-03-14	€32M	Manchester United
2024-05-27	€32M	Manchester United
2024-12-18	€40M	SSC Napoli
2025-06-17	€50M	SSC Napoli
2025-12-23	€45M	SSC Napoli
2026-05-29	€40M	SSC Napoli

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.527

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 96% of the 507 Serie A players.

See them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 96% of the 1,687 midfielders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where McTominay appears

TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).