Gianluigi
Donnarumma
GKItaly · Manchester City
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
GianluigiDonnarumma
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Manchester City
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 196 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Donnarumma at €45M. Model A, which never saw Donnarumma during training, estimates €42.1M: the market value is 7% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €31.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 90
- Minutes
- 8,062
- Started
- 90/90
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 11Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Donnarumma…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €45M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Minutes, last 365 days
Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.
4,500 this player1,560 goalkeeper median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Mar 2015
- Peak
- €65M
- Jul 2021
- Model target
- €45M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 30
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €45M, Manchester City. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-03-02 | €300k | Milan Primavera |
| 2015-06-17 | €500k | Milan Primavera |
| 2015-11-05 | €1.5M | AC Milan |
| 2016-01-04 | €5M | AC Milan |
| 2016-04-01 | €8M | AC Milan |
| 2016-07-15 | €10M | AC Milan |
| 2016-10-14 | €15M | AC Milan |
| 2017-01-02 | €20M | AC Milan |
| 2017-06-08 | €25M | AC Milan |
| 2017-12-29 | €40M | AC Milan |
| 2018-06-07 | €40M | AC Milan |
| 2018-12-20 | €40M | AC Milan |
| 2019-03-01 | €50M | AC Milan |
| 2019-06-06 | €55M | AC Milan |
| 2019-12-12 | €55M | AC Milan |
| 2020-04-08 | €49.5M | AC Milan |
| 2020-08-25 | €60M | AC Milan |
| 2020-12-29 | €60M | AC Milan |
| 2021-05-25 | €60M | AC Milan |
| 2021-07-15 | €65M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2021-12-16 | €65M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2022-05-30 | €50M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2022-11-02 | €50M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-06-27 | €45M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-12-18 | €40M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2024-06-03 | €40M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2024-12-10 | €35M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2025-06-03 | €40M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2025-12-09 | €45M | Manchester City |
| 2026-06-03 | €45M | Manchester City |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.066
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 86% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
The joint highest observed value among 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Donnarumma appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- RomeroCBTottenham Hotspur · Premier League€45M
- KonatéCBLiverpool FC · Premier League€45M
- OnanaDMAston Villa · Premier League€45M
- LivramentoRBNewcastle United · Premier League€45M
- GarcíaGKFC Barcelona · goalkeepers€45M
- KobelGKBorussia Dortmund · goalkeepers€40M
- CostaGKFC Porto · goalkeepers€40M
- VerbruggenGKBrighton & Hove Albion · goalkeepers€40M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).