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Portrait of Marcus Edwards

Marcus

Edwards

RWEngland · Burnley FC

№ 314367Established €7.6M −0.23

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

MarcusEdwards

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Burnley FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
England
Age
27
Height
168 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Edwards at €6M. Model A, which never saw Edwards during training, estimates €7.6M: the market value is 21% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.26. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.23A €7.6M▲ +0.08B €5.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
37
Minutes
1,567
Goals
3
Assists
4
Started
16/37
Min / app
42
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Edwards…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €7.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Marcus Edwards's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 29th, Assists per 90 79th, Minutes, two years 34th, Starts 25th, Minutes, last 365 days 48th, European club minutes 63rd29thGoals79thAssists34thMinutes25thStarts48thRecent63rdEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.23 this player0.15 attacker median79th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Feb 2018
Peak
€30M
Jun 2023
Model target
€6M
Jun 2026
Valuations
24
4 club changes
Jun 2026€6MBurnley FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €6M, Burnley FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-02-27€500kNorwich City
2018-10-04€900kSBV Excelsior
2018-12-28€900kSBV Excelsior
2019-03-13€1.3MSBV Excelsior
2019-06-12€1.3MSBV Excelsior
2019-12-30€3.5MVitória Guimarães SC
2020-04-08€3.2MVitória Guimarães SC
2020-08-17€13MVitória Guimarães SC
2021-01-28€13MVitória Guimarães SC
2021-05-21€10MVitória Guimarães SC
2021-12-27€13MVitória Guimarães SC
2022-05-31€15MSporting CP
2022-09-16€20MSporting CP
2022-11-01€25MSporting CP
2023-06-16€30MSporting CP
2023-12-27€28MSporting CP
2024-03-08€25MSporting CP
2024-06-06€20MSporting CP
2024-10-08€18MSporting CP
2024-12-19€15MSporting CP
2025-05-27€12MBurnley FC
2025-10-17€10MBurnley FC
2025-12-09€8MBurnley FC
2026-06-03€6MBurnley FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.231

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 23% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 68% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Edwards appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).