AleksandrTroshechkin

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club: Arsenal Tula
League: Premier Liga
Nationality: Russia
Age: 29
Height: 184 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 3 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Troshechkin at €600k. Model A, which never saw Troshechkin during training, estimates €660k: the market value is 9% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €811k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 38
Minutes: 2,230
Goals: 3
Assists: 2
Started: 28/38
Min / app: 59
Cards: 6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Troshechkin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.12 this player0.08 midfielder median63rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €75k; Aug 2015
Peak: €1.5M; Dec 2020
Model target: €600k; Dec 2025
Valuations: 27; 7 club changes

Dec 2025€600kArsenal TulaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €600k, Arsenal Tula. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2015-08-26	€75k	FC Rostov
2016-01-23	€100k	FC Rostov
2016-07-01	€100k	Fakel Voronezh
2016-12-24	€200k	Fakel Voronezh
2017-06-01	€250k	Fakel Voronezh
2017-12-23	€300k	FC Tosno
2018-06-06	€300k	FC Tosno
2018-12-20	€500k	Avangard Kursk
2019-06-14	€600k	Avangard Kursk
2019-12-23	€650k	FC Khimki
2020-04-08	€525k	FC Khimki
2020-06-29	€550k	FC Khimki
2020-07-29	€600k	FC Khimki
2020-10-19	€800k	FC Khimki
2020-12-29	€1.5M	FC Khimki
2021-06-02	€1.5M	FC Khimki
2021-12-29	€1.2M	FC Khimki
2022-06-02	€1.2M	Akhmat Grozny
2022-11-21	€1.2M	Akhmat Grozny
2023-04-13	€1M	Akhmat Grozny
2023-06-14	€800k	Akhmat Grozny
2023-12-13	€800k	FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2024-06-04	€700k	FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2024-12-12	€700k	FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2025-06-04	€700k	FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2025-09-18	€600k	Arsenal Tula
2025-12-03	€600k	Arsenal Tula

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −0.096

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 19% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

See them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 20% of the 1,687 midfielders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Troshechkin appears

TerminalPremier Liga in the Player Explorer
TerminalPremier Liga on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).