FairValue

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Volodymyr

Makhankov

GKUkraine · Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig

№ 294723Emerging €247k +0.48

Player dossierPremier Liha

VolodymyrMakhankov

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
28
Height
195 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Makhankov at €400k. Model A, which never saw Makhankov during training, estimates €247k: the market value is 62% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.62. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €773k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.48A €247k▼ −0.66B €773k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
13
Minutes
1,148
Started
12/13
Min / app
88
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Makhankov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €247k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Volodymyr Makhankov's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 22nd, Starts 9th, Minutes, last 365 days 24th, European club minutes 32nd22ndMinutes9thStarts24thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% goalkeeper median32nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Aug 2018
Peak
€400k
Jun 2024
Model target
€400k
Jun 2026
Valuations
16
4 club changes
Jun 2026€400kKryvbas Kryvyi RigValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €400k, Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-08-06€200kDynamo Kyiv II
2020-01-08€200kWithout Club
2020-10-05€150kPolissya Zhytomyr
2020-12-05€150kPolissya Zhytomyr
2021-06-17€150kPolissya Zhytomyr
2021-09-03€200kKolos Kovalivka
2021-12-20€200kKolos Kovalivka
2022-05-18€200kKolos Kovalivka
2022-12-06€200kKolos Kovalivka
2023-06-21€100kKolos Kovalivka
2023-12-11€100kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2024-06-06€400kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2024-12-17€400kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2025-06-10€400kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2025-12-18€400kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2026-06-02€400kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.482

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 40% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 21% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Makhankov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).