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Metehan

Mimaroğlu

LWTürkiye · Genclerbirligi Ankara

№ 294100Emerging €932k −0.85

Player dossierSüper Lig

MetehanMimaroğlu

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Genclerbirligi Ankara
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
31
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Mimaroğlu at €400k. Model A, which never saw Mimaroğlu during training, estimates €932k: the market value is 57% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.33. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €819k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.85A €932k▼ −0.72B €819k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
32
Minutes
1,974
Goals
6
Assists
4
Started
21/32
Min / app
62
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mimaroğlu…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €932k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Metehan Mimaroğlu's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 64th, Minutes, two years 44th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 72nd, European club minutes 28th52ndGoals64thAssists44thMinutes62ndStarts72ndRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

1,974 this player1,301 attacker median72nd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Mar 2014
Peak
€925k
Oct 2021
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
22
6 club changes
May 2026€400kGenclerbirligi AnkaraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, Genclerbirligi Ankara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-03-19€25kIstanbul Güngörenspor
2020-02-04€75kAltinordu FK
2020-10-12€175kAltinordu FK
2020-12-30€400kAltinordu FK
2021-06-02€875kAltinordu FK
2021-10-12€925kAdana Demirspor
2022-01-04€850kAdana Demirspor
2022-03-31€675kAdana Demirspor
2022-06-01€525kAdana Demirspor
2022-10-27€475kÜmraniyespor
2023-04-03€425kAltinordu FK
2023-06-23€375kAltinordu FK
2023-10-20€400kBandirma Spor
2023-12-29€450kBandirma Spor
2024-03-26€450kBandirma Spor
2024-06-13€500kBandirma Spor
2024-10-16€400kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2025-01-09€400kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2025-04-02€400kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2025-06-25€400kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2025-12-17€400kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2026-05-21€400kGenclerbirligi Ankara

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.845

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 15% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 11% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Mimaroğlu appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).