Xeka
CMPortugal · GD Estoril Praia
Player dossierLiga Portugal
Xeka
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- GD Estoril Praia
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Both
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Xeka at €800k. Model A, which never saw Xeka during training, estimates €555k: the market value is 44% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.44. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €553k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 26
- Minutes
- 1,600
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 20/26
- Min / app
- 62
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Xeka…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
77% this player69% midfielder median65th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Nov 2013
- Peak
- €10M
- Jun 2019
- Model target
- €800k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 27
- 9 club changes
May 2026: €800k, GD Estoril Praia. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-11-08 | €250k | SC Braga B |
| 2015-07-31 | €150k | SC Covilhã |
| 2016-03-14 | €200k | SC Covilhã |
| 2016-09-30 | €300k | SC Braga B |
| 2017-02-22 | €1M | LOSC Lille |
| 2017-06-01 | €1.3M | LOSC Lille |
| 2017-10-12 | €4M | Dijon FCO |
| 2018-01-24 | €5.5M | Dijon FCO |
| 2018-06-04 | €5.5M | Dijon FCO |
| 2018-12-17 | €5.5M | LOSC Lille |
| 2019-03-07 | €9M | LOSC Lille |
| 2019-06-03 | €10M | LOSC Lille |
| 2019-12-19 | €9M | LOSC Lille |
| 2020-04-08 | €7M | LOSC Lille |
| 2020-10-15 | €7M | LOSC Lille |
| 2021-06-04 | €8M | LOSC Lille |
| 2021-12-16 | €9M | LOSC Lille |
| 2022-05-30 | €9M | LOSC Lille |
| 2022-11-02 | €9M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2023-06-27 | €6M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2023-10-25 | €5M | Without Club |
| 2024-03-29 | €3M | Without Club |
| 2024-05-02 | €3M | Al-Sadd SC |
| 2024-12-19 | €2M | GD Estoril Praia |
| 2025-05-30 | €2M | GD Estoril Praia |
| 2025-12-18 | €1M | GD Estoril Praia |
| 2026-05-28 | €800k | GD Estoril Praia |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.366
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 35% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 27% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Xeka appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- RamosGKFC Porto · Liga Portugal€800k
- KuipersLBFC Arouca · Liga Portugal€800k
- VirgíniaGKSporting CP · Liga Portugal€800k
- SánchezCBFC Arouca · Liga Portugal€800k
- BadeljDMGenoa CFC · midfielders€800k
- CuadradoRMPisa Sporting Club · midfielders€800k
- DjuricicAMPanathinaikos · midfielders€800k
- ClasieDMAZ Alkmaar · midfielders€800k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).