FairValue

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Mauro

Arambarri

CMUruguay · Getafe CF

№ 290249Established €4.7M +0.54

Player dossierLaLiga

MauroArambarri

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Getafe CF
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Uruguay
Age
30
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Arambarri at €8M. Model A, which never saw Arambarri during training, estimates €4.7M: the market value is 71% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.71. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.54A €4.7M▲ +0.70B €4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
74
Minutes
6,119
Goals
16
Assists
2
Started
70/74
Min / app
83
Cards
17Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Arambarri…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €4.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Mauro Arambarri's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 88th, Assists per 90 20th, Minutes, two years 96th, Starts 93rd, Minutes, last 365 days 95th, European club minutes 30th88thGoals20thAssists96thMinutes93rdStarts95thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,119 this player2,607 midfielder median96th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€125k
Oct 2013
Peak
€25M
Mar 2020
Model target
€8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
36
2 club changes
Jun 2026€8MGetafe CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €8M, Getafe CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-10-22€125kDefensor Sporting Club
2014-02-20€400kDefensor Sporting Club
2014-08-15€350kDefensor Sporting Club
2015-02-12€1MDefensor Sporting Club
2015-08-14€1.3MDefensor Sporting Club
2016-02-04€3MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2016-07-13€2.3MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2016-11-01€1.5MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2017-01-16€1.3MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2017-06-01€1.3MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2017-08-17€1.5MGetafe CF
2018-01-01€2.5MGetafe CF
2018-05-30€3MGetafe CF
2018-07-08€5MGetafe CF
2018-10-31€7.5MGetafe CF
2018-12-21€10MGetafe CF
2019-06-11€15MGetafe CF
2019-12-20€20MGetafe CF
2020-03-05€25MGetafe CF
2020-04-08€20MGetafe CF
2020-10-08€20MGetafe CF
2021-01-05€20MGetafe CF
2021-06-10€20MGetafe CF
2021-12-30€15MGetafe CF
2022-06-03€15MGetafe CF
2022-11-07€15MGetafe CF
2023-03-23€13MGetafe CF
2023-06-13€9MGetafe CF
2023-10-13€6MGetafe CF
2023-12-22€6MGetafe CF
2024-06-07€5MGetafe CF
2024-12-27€5MGetafe CF
2025-03-21€7MGetafe CF
2025-06-09€12MGetafe CF
2025-12-12€10MGetafe CF
2026-06-05€8MGetafe CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.536

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 68% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 74% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Arambarri appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).