FairValue

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Frederik

Tingager

CBDenmark · Aarhus GF

№ 289683Emerging €517k −1.24

Player dossierSuperliga

FrederikTingager

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Aarhus GF
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
33
Height
198 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tingager at €150k. Model A, which never saw Tingager during training, estimates €517k: the market value is 71% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €485k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.24A €517k▼ −1.17B €485k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
42
Minutes
3,418
Goals
3
Assists
3
Started
38/42
Min / app
81
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tingager…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €150kModel A €517k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Frederik Tingager's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 79th, Assists per 90 71st, Minutes, two years 61st, Starts 70th, Minutes, last 365 days 30th, European club minutes 30th79thGoals71stAssists61stMinutes70thStarts30thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.08 this player0.03 defender median79th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2016
Peak
€500k
Jul 2020
Model target
€150k
May 2026
Valuations
24
2 club changes
May 2026€150kAarhus GFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €150k, Aarhus GF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-01-21€50kOdense Boldklub
2016-08-12€100kOdense Boldklub
2016-12-12€250kOdense Boldklub
2017-03-27€300kOdense Boldklub
2017-06-21€350kOdense Boldklub
2017-12-18€400kOdense Boldklub
2018-06-19€450kEintracht Braunschweig
2018-12-31€350kEintracht Braunschweig
2019-06-08€350kAarhus GF
2019-12-22€350kAarhus GF
2020-04-08€300kAarhus GF
2020-07-31€500kAarhus GF
2020-12-23€500kAarhus GF
2021-06-04€500kAarhus GF
2021-12-28€500kAarhus GF
2022-06-20€400kAarhus GF
2022-12-22€400kAarhus GF
2023-06-26€400kAarhus GF
2023-12-21€450kAarhus GF
2024-06-10€350kAarhus GF
2024-12-09€400kAarhus GF
2025-06-16€300kAarhus GF
2025-12-15€250kAarhus GF
2026-05-25€150kAarhus GF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.238

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 6% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 3% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Tingager appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).