Sofyan
Amrabat
DMMorocco · Real Betis Balompié
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierLaLiga
SofyanAmrabat
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Real Betis Balompié
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Morocco
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values Amrabat at €10M. Model A, which never saw Amrabat during training, estimates €7.1M: the market value is 41% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.41. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 69
- Minutes
- 5,068
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 55/69
- Min / app
- 73
- Cards
- 20Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Amrabat…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
34% this player0% midfielder median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Sept 2014
- Peak
- €30M
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €10M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 35
- 8 club changes
Jun 2026: €10M, Real Betis Balompié. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-09-25 | €50k | FC Utrecht U21 |
| 2015-02-16 | €100k | FC Utrecht U21 |
| 2015-07-01 | €350k | FC Utrecht |
| 2016-02-05 | €400k | FC Utrecht |
| 2016-07-15 | €450k | FC Utrecht |
| 2016-10-17 | €650k | FC Utrecht |
| 2017-01-18 | €900k | FC Utrecht |
| 2017-06-07 | €3M | FC Utrecht |
| 2017-10-26 | €4M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2018-01-17 | €5M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2018-06-12 | €4.5M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2018-12-27 | €3.8M | Club Brugge KV |
| 2019-06-10 | €3M | Club Brugge KV |
| 2019-12-12 | €10M | Hellas Verona |
| 2020-02-11 | €18M | Hellas Verona |
| 2020-04-08 | €14.5M | Hellas Verona |
| 2020-08-25 | €20M | Hellas Verona |
| 2020-12-29 | €18M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2021-06-03 | €15M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2021-10-14 | €12M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2021-12-28 | €9M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2022-06-07 | €10M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2022-11-11 | €10M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2022-12-23 | €25M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2023-06-15 | €30M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2023-12-19 | €28M | Manchester United |
| 2024-03-14 | €22M | Manchester United |
| 2024-05-27 | €22M | Manchester United |
| 2024-10-04 | €22M | Fenerbahce |
| 2024-12-23 | €22M | Fenerbahce |
| 2025-03-20 | €20M | Fenerbahce |
| 2025-06-18 | €17M | Fenerbahce |
| 2025-10-02 | €12M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2025-12-12 | €12M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2026-06-05 | €10M | Real Betis Balompié |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.340
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 78% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Amrabat appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GarcíaLBReal Madrid · LaLiga€10M
- BlancoDMDeportivo Alavés · LaLiga€10M
- SucicCMReal Sociedad · LaLiga€10M
- OunahiCMGirona FC · LaLiga€10M
- KovacicCMManchester City · midfielders€10M
- ZielinskiCMInter Milan · midfielders€10M
- EggesteinCMSC Freiburg · midfielders€10M
- TolissoCMOlympique Lyon · midfielders€10M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).