Fran
Navarro
CFSpain · SC Braga
Player dossierLiga Portugal
FranNavarro
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- SC Braga
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 179 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Navarro at €4M. Model A, which never saw Navarro during training, estimates €6.1M: the market value is 35% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.53. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 67
- Minutes
- 3,130
- Goals
- 15
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 36/67
- Min / app
- 47
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Navarro…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
27% this player0% attacker median91st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jan 2018
- Peak
- €13M
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €4M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 24
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €4M, SC Braga. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-01-01 | €100k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2018-05-30 | €150k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2019-02-19 | €250k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2019-06-29 | €300k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2020-02-11 | €300k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2020-10-08 | €300k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2021-01-08 | €300k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2021-06-30 | €300k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2021-09-21 | €600k | Gil Vicente FC |
| 2021-12-27 | €1.5M | Gil Vicente FC |
| 2022-03-07 | €3M | Gil Vicente FC |
| 2022-05-31 | €3M | Gil Vicente FC |
| 2022-09-16 | €5M | Gil Vicente FC |
| 2022-11-01 | €5M | Gil Vicente FC |
| 2023-03-02 | €8M | Gil Vicente FC |
| 2023-06-16 | €13M | Gil Vicente FC |
| 2023-12-27 | €10M | FC Porto |
| 2024-05-30 | €8M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2024-10-08 | €7M | FC Porto |
| 2024-12-19 | €6M | FC Porto |
| 2025-05-30 | €6M | SC Braga |
| 2025-12-18 | €4.5M | SC Braga |
| 2026-03-19 | €4M | SC Braga |
| 2026-05-28 | €4M | SC Braga |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.425
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 72% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 59% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Navarro appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SilvaSSSL Benfica · Liga Portugal€4M
- BatistaGKCD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal€4M
- KochorashviliCMSporting CP · Liga Portugal€4M
- LarrazabalRBCasa Pia AC · Liga Portugal€4M
- IcardiCFGalatasaray · attackers€4M
- WilsonCFWest Ham United · attackers€4M
- TraoréRWSunderland AFC · attackers€4M
- GrifoLWSC Freiburg · attackers€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).