FairValue

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Portrait of Manuel Akanji

Manuel

Akanji

CBSwitzerland · Inter Milan

№ 284730Elite €13.9M +0.20

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

ManuelAkanji

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Inter Milan
League
Serie A
Nationality
Switzerland
Age
30
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Akanji at €17M. Model A, which never saw Akanji during training, estimates €13.9M: the market value is 23% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.20A €13.9M▲ +0.56B €9.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
84
Minutes
6,748
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
74/84
Min / app
80
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Akanji…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €17M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €17MModel A €13.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Manuel Akanji's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 46th, Assists per 90 42nd, Minutes, two years 97th, Starts 64th, Minutes, last 365 days 98th, European club minutes 89th46thGoals42ndAssists97thMinutes64thStarts98thRecent89thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,864 this player1,687 defender median98th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2014
Peak
€45M
May 2024
Model target
€17M
May 2026
Valuations
35
4 club changes
May 2026€17MInter MilanValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €17M, Inter Milan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-09-12€100kFC Winterthur
2014-12-15€250kFC Winterthur
2015-12-18€500kFC Basel 1893
2016-04-20€750kFC Basel 1893
2016-07-16€750kFC Basel 1893
2016-12-20€750kFC Basel 1893
2017-04-14€1.5MFC Basel 1893
2017-07-12€2.3MFC Basel 1893
2017-09-29€3MFC Basel 1893
2018-01-08€5MFC Basel 1893
2018-04-04€20MBorussia Dortmund
2018-06-05€22MBorussia Dortmund
2018-07-16€28MBorussia Dortmund
2018-10-22€33MBorussia Dortmund
2018-12-18€40MBorussia Dortmund
2019-06-05€40MBorussia Dortmund
2019-12-17€35MBorussia Dortmund
2020-03-11€25MBorussia Dortmund
2020-04-08€20MBorussia Dortmund
2020-11-26€25MBorussia Dortmund
2021-02-10€25MBorussia Dortmund
2021-05-25€30MBorussia Dortmund
2021-12-22€30MBorussia Dortmund
2022-06-09€30MBorussia Dortmund
2022-11-03€30MManchester City
2023-06-20€38MManchester City
2023-12-19€42MManchester City
2024-05-27€45MManchester City
2024-12-16€40MManchester City
2025-03-18€32MManchester City
2025-05-30€28MManchester City
2025-10-07€22MInter Milan
2025-12-23€22MInter Milan
2026-03-24€18MInter Milan
2026-05-29€17MInter Milan

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.204

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 80% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€17MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 89% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€17MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Akanji appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).