Moritz
Nicolas
GKGermany · Borussia Mönchengladbach
Player dossierBundesliga
MoritzNicolas
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Germany
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 193 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Nicolas at €8M. Model A, which never saw Nicolas during training, estimates €7.4M: the market value is 9% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.09. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 57
- Minutes
- 5,060
- Started
- 57/57
- Min / app
- 89
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nicolas…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Minutes, last 365 days
Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.
3,330 this player1,560 goalkeeper median88th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Jul 2014
- Peak
- €8M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €8M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 28
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €8M, Borussia Mönchengladbach. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-07-27 | €25k | Rot-Weiss Essen |
| 2015-01-01 | €25k | Rot-Weiss Essen |
| 2015-06-30 | €50k | Rot-Weiss Essen |
| 2016-01-15 | €100k | Borussia Mönchengladbach II |
| 2016-07-15 | €100k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2017-02-07 | €100k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2017-06-19 | €100k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2017-12-28 | €150k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2018-06-05 | €150k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2018-12-18 | €150k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2019-06-05 | €150k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2019-12-17 | €150k | 1.FC Union Berlin |
| 2020-07-08 | €250k | 1.FC Union Berlin |
| 2021-02-08 | €250k | VfL Osnabrück |
| 2021-06-16 | €250k | VfL Osnabrück |
| 2021-12-30 | €250k | FC Viktoria Köln |
| 2022-06-01 | €350k | FC Viktoria Köln |
| 2023-07-04 | €350k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2023-10-18 | €800k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2023-12-14 | €1.5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2024-03-27 | €2M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2024-05-29 | €2.5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2024-12-20 | €3.5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2025-03-27 | €5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2025-06-05 | €5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2025-12-19 | €5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2026-03-20 | €6M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2026-05-27 | €8M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.084
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 60% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 85% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Nicolas appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ElvediCBBorussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga€8M
- KleindienstCFBorussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga€8M
- KarazorDMVfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga€8M
- LynenDMSV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga€8M
- MeretGKSSC Napoli · goalkeepers€8M
- ButezGKComo 1907 · goalkeepers€8M
- ScherpenGKUnion Saint-Gilloise · goalkeepers€8M
- MandasGKAFC Bournemouth · goalkeepers€8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).