FairValue

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Portrait of Giovanni Simeone

Giovanni

Simeone

CFArgentina · Torino FC

№ 282388Established €3.9M +0.58

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

GiovanniSimeone

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Torino FC
League
Serie A
Nationality
Argentina
Age
30
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Simeone at €7M. Model A, which never saw Simeone during training, estimates €3.9M: the market value is 79% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.58A €3.9M▲ +0.96B €2.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
2,943
Goals
13
Assists
4
Started
31/68
Min / app
43
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Simeone…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7MModel A €3.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Giovanni Simeone's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 76th, Assists per 90 41st, Minutes, two years 66th, Starts 28th, Minutes, last 365 days 83rd, European club minutes 28th76thGoals41stAssists66thMinutes28thStarts83rdRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,372 this player1,301 attacker median83rd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€2M
Feb 2014
Peak
€25M
Jun 2018
Model target
€7M
May 2026
Valuations
28
8 club changes
May 2026€7MTorino FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €7M, Torino FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-02-10€2MCA River Plate
2015-07-14€3.3MCA Banfield
2016-02-06€8MCA Banfield
2016-08-08€8MCA River Plate
2017-01-02€8MGenoa CFC
2017-06-08€10MGenoa CFC
2017-12-29€15MACF Fiorentina
2018-06-07€25MACF Fiorentina
2018-12-20€23MACF Fiorentina
2019-06-06€20MACF Fiorentina
2019-10-08€17MCagliari Calcio
2019-12-12€17MCagliari Calcio
2020-04-08€13.5MCagliari Calcio
2020-08-25€15MCagliari Calcio
2020-12-29€17MCagliari Calcio
2021-03-23€14MCagliari Calcio
2021-06-03€11MCagliari Calcio
2021-12-28€17MHellas Verona
2022-06-07€17MHellas Verona
2022-11-11€17MSSC Napoli
2023-06-15€15MSSC Napoli
2023-12-20€13MSSC Napoli
2024-06-05€10MSSC Napoli
2024-12-18€10MSSC Napoli
2025-03-25€8MSSC Napoli
2025-06-17€5MSSC Napoli
2025-12-23€5MTorino FC
2026-05-29€7MTorino FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.582

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 55% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 70% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Simeone appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).